Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a DHS shutdown ending after March 31 (71.1%), reflecting congressional gridlock over full-year funding amid partisan divides on spending cuts and border security allocations. Recent House Republican advances on a continuing resolution stalled in the Senate, dimming hopes for quick resolution and boosting odds for late-March outcomes at 14.9% (March 28-31) and 14.8% (March 24-27), while early end by March 20-23 sits at just 0.4%. Upcoming procedural votes and leadership talks this week could shift dynamics, but historical funding battles suggest prolonged uncertainty as traders weigh negotiation breakthroughs against fiscal hawks' demands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Wann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Nach dem 31. März 71.5%
24.–27. März 14.9%
28.–31. März 13.4%
20.–23. März <1%
$1,233,042 Vol.
$1,233,042 Vol.
20.–23. März
<1%
24.–27. März
15%
28.–31. März
13%
Nach dem 31. März
72%
Nach dem 31. März 71.5%
24.–27. März 14.9%
28.–31. März 13.4%
20.–23. März <1%
$1,233,042 Vol.
$1,233,042 Vol.
20.–23. März
<1%
24.–27. März
15%
28.–31. März
13%
Nach dem 31. März
72%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a DHS shutdown ending after March 31 (71.1%), reflecting congressional gridlock over full-year funding amid partisan divides on spending cuts and border security allocations. Recent House Republican advances on a continuing resolution stalled in the Senate, dimming hopes for quick resolution and boosting odds for late-March outcomes at 14.9% (March 28-31) and 14.8% (March 24-27), while early end by March 20-23 sits at just 0.4%. Upcoming procedural votes and leadership talks this week could shift dynamics, but historical funding battles suggest prolonged uncertainty as traders weigh negotiation breakthroughs against fiscal hawks' demands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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