Stalled bipartisan negotiations over Department of Homeland Security appropriations have driven trader consensus toward a prolonged government shutdown, with 66.4% pricing an end after March 31 amid historical patterns of extended funding disputes like the 35-day 2018 impasse. The March 22 deadline lapsed without a continuing resolution, prompting furloughs for non-essential DHS functions including Customs and Border Protection and Immigration and Customs Enforcement personnel. House Republicans advanced a bill with spending cuts and border security measures, but Senate Democrats objected, filibustering progress; Speaker Johnson continues talks with the White House, though slim chances for a floor vote before March 28 explain the low 7.2% on March 24-27 resolution. Upcoming whip counts and potential cloture motions could tip odds if compromise emerges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Wann endet die DHS-Abschaltung?
Nach dem 31. März 65.9%
28.–31. März 26.6%
24.–27. März 7.3%
$1,348,451 Vol.
$1,348,451 Vol.
24.–27. März
7%
28.–31. März
27%
Nach dem 31. März
66%
Nach dem 31. März 65.9%
28.–31. März 26.6%
24.–27. März 7.3%
$1,348,451 Vol.
$1,348,451 Vol.
24.–27. März
7%
28.–31. März
27%
Nach dem 31. März
66%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 15, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Stalled bipartisan negotiations over Department of Homeland Security appropriations have driven trader consensus toward a prolonged government shutdown, with 66.4% pricing an end after March 31 amid historical patterns of extended funding disputes like the 35-day 2018 impasse. The March 22 deadline lapsed without a continuing resolution, prompting furloughs for non-essential DHS functions including Customs and Border Protection and Immigration and Customs Enforcement personnel. House Republicans advanced a bill with spending cuts and border security measures, but Senate Democrats objected, filibustering progress; Speaker Johnson continues talks with the White House, though slim chances for a floor vote before March 28 explain the low 7.2% on March 24-27 resolution. Upcoming whip counts and potential cloture motions could tip odds if compromise emerges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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