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Was wird Trump während der Rede zur Lage der Nation sagen?

Market icon

Was wird Trump während der Rede zur Lage der Nation sagen?

$3,412,380 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,412,380 Vol.

Polymarket

America / American über 50 Mal

$253,722 Vol.

Ja

America / American 25+ Mal

$344,560 Vol.

Ja

Über 20 Mal „Job“

$118,366 Vol.

Nein

Million / Milliarde / Billion 15-mal oder öfter

$159,242 Vol.

Ja

Biden mehr als 10 Mal

$325,541 Vol.

Nein

Grenze 7+ Mal

$50,581 Vol.

Ja

Öl / Gas 3+ Mal

$34,362 Vol.

Ja

KI / Künstliche Intelligenz 2-mal oder öfter

$74,982 Vol.

Ja

Kamala / Harris

$47,442 Vol.

Nein

am heißesten

$84,491 Vol.

Ja

Kennedy / Autismus

$21,892 Vol.

Nein

Naher Osten

$40,063 Vol.

Nein

Krypto / Bitcoin

$330,713 Vol.

Nein

Israel / Gaza

$51,940 Vol.

Ja

MAGA / Make America Great Again

$37,961 Vol.

Nein

Schwarz / Hispanisch

$25,997 Vol.

Nein

Gold Card / Trump Card

$43,826 Vol.

Nein

Die Lage der Nation ist stark

$498,637 Vol.

Nein

Epstein

$123,792 Vol.

Nein

Herr Sprecher

$38,384 Vol.

Nein

Ei

$46,373 Vol.

Ja

Betrug / Schwindel

$11,638 Vol.

Ja

Kohle

$27,237 Vol.

Nein

Sechs Sieben

$93,163 Vol.

Nein

Nein Nein Nein

$22,623 Vol.

Ja

Nobel / Friedenspreis

$54,134 Vol.

Ja

Too Late

$25,881 Vol.

Nein

Erdnuss

$16,638 Vol.

Nein

Keks

$10,686 Vol.

Nein

IQ

$23,990 Vol.

Nein

Steroid

$8,987 Vol.

Nein

Alien

$68,903 Vol.

Ja

Fentanyl / Kokain

$7,317 Vol.

Ja

Olympisch / Olympische Spiele

$36,044 Vol.

Ja

Oberster Gerichtshof

$11,027 Vol.

Ja

Nuklear

$19,312 Vol.

Ja

Drill Baby Drill

$17,304 Vol.

Ja

Eli Lilly

$5,746 Vol.

Nein

Autopen / Auto Pen

$10,211 Vol.

Nein

UFC

$19,812 Vol.

Nein

Fake News

$27,451 Vol.

Nein

Hockey

$104,456 Vol.

Ja

Wunder

$31,395 Vol.

Ja

Hauptstadt der Welt

$5,559 Vol.

Nein

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,412,380
Enddatum
Feb 24, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 23, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Was wird Trump während der Rede zur Lage der Nation sagen?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "America / American über 50 Mal" at 100%, followed by "America / American 25+ Mal" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Was wird Trump während der Rede zur Lage der Nation sagen?" has generated $3.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Was wird Trump während der Rede zur Lage der Nation sagen?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Was wird Trump während der Rede zur Lage der Nation sagen?" is "America / American über 50 Mal" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "America / American 25+ Mal" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Was wird Trump während der Rede zur Lage der Nation sagen?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.