US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine and Russia have stalled amid irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Kyiv ceding the Donbas region as a precondition for any settlement, while President Zelenskyy rejects concessions without firm security guarantees. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March 25 accusation that the US links guarantees to territorial withdrawals and Russia's launch of a spring offensive, underscore persistent military escalation over diplomatic progress. Moscow expressed hope for a new round of talks as conditions allow, but traders' 74.5% consensus against a deal before 2027 reflects deep skepticism on bridging these gaps, given historical negotiation breakdowns and ongoing battlefield dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$182,624 Vol.
$182,624 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Ja
$182,624 Vol.
$182,624 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine and Russia have stalled amid irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Kyiv ceding the Donbas region as a precondition for any settlement, while President Zelenskyy rejects concessions without firm security guarantees. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March 25 accusation that the US links guarantees to territorial withdrawals and Russia's launch of a spring offensive, underscore persistent military escalation over diplomatic progress. Moscow expressed hope for a new round of talks as conditions allow, but traders' 74.5% consensus against a deal before 2027 reflects deep skepticism on bridging these gaps, given historical negotiation breakdowns and ongoing battlefield dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Volumen
$182,624Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine and Russia have stalled amid irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Kyiv ceding the Donbas region as a precondition for any settlement, while President Zelenskyy rejects concessions without firm security guarantees. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March 25 accusation that the US links guarantees to territorial withdrawals and Russia's launch of a spring offensive, underscore persistent military escalation over diplomatic progress. Moscow expressed hope for a new round of talks as conditions allow, but traders' 74.5% consensus against a deal before 2027 reflects deep skepticism on bridging these gaps, given historical negotiation breakdowns and ongoing battlefield dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$182,624Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated peace talks between Ukraine and Russia have stalled amid irreconcilable demands, with Moscow insisting on Kyiv ceding the Donbas region as a precondition for any settlement, while President Zelenskyy rejects concessions without firm security guarantees. Recent developments, including Zelenskyy's March 25 accusation that the US links guarantees to territorial withdrawals and Russia's launch of a spring offensive, underscore persistent military escalation over diplomatic progress. Moscow expressed hope for a new round of talks as conditions allow, but traders' 74.5% consensus against a deal before 2027 reflects deep skepticism on bridging these gaps, given historical negotiation breakdowns and ongoing battlefield dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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