Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range drone strikes deep into Russian territory amid the ongoing invasion, with multiple incursions targeting the Moscow region in recent weeks. The most recent major development occurred on November 26, when Russian defenses intercepted over 100 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow, leading to temporary airport closures but no confirmed impacts on the capital itself. Earlier in November, similar attacks caused minor damage to buildings in Moscow suburbs, demonstrating Ukraine's expanding strike capabilities bolstered by Western-supplied technology and domestic production. Traders monitor escalation risks, Russian air defense effectiveness, and potential retaliatory airstrikes, alongside diplomatic signals from NATO summits and US aid deliberations that could enable further operations before any resolution deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$136,575 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
31. März
4%
15. April
14%
30. April
18%
$136,575 Vol.
31. März
$20,487 Vol.
4%
15. April
$16 Vol.
14%
30. April
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range drone strikes deep into Russian territory amid the ongoing invasion, with multiple incursions targeting the Moscow region in recent weeks. The most recent major development occurred on November 26, when Russian defenses intercepted over 100 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow, leading to temporary airport closures but no confirmed impacts on the capital itself. Earlier in November, similar attacks caused minor damage to buildings in Moscow suburbs, demonstrating Ukraine's expanding strike capabilities bolstered by Western-supplied technology and domestic production. Traders monitor escalation risks, Russian air defense effectiveness, and potential retaliatory airstrikes, alongside diplomatic signals from NATO summits and US aid deliberations that could enable further operations before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Volumen
$136,575Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range drone strikes deep into Russian territory amid the ongoing invasion, with multiple incursions targeting the Moscow region in recent weeks. The most recent major development occurred on November 26, when Russian defenses intercepted over 100 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow, leading to temporary airport closures but no confirmed impacts on the capital itself. Earlier in November, similar attacks caused minor damage to buildings in Moscow suburbs, demonstrating Ukraine's expanding strike capabilities bolstered by Western-supplied technology and domestic production. Traders monitor escalation risks, Russian air defense effectiveness, and potential retaliatory airstrikes, alongside diplomatic signals from NATO summits and US aid deliberations that could enable further operations before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$136,575Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have intensified long-range drone strikes deep into Russian territory amid the ongoing invasion, with multiple incursions targeting the Moscow region in recent weeks. The most recent major development occurred on November 26, when Russian defenses intercepted over 100 Ukrainian drones approaching Moscow, leading to temporary airport closures but no confirmed impacts on the capital itself. Earlier in November, similar attacks caused minor damage to buildings in Moscow suburbs, demonstrating Ukraine's expanding strike capabilities bolstered by Western-supplied technology and domestic production. Traders monitor escalation risks, Russian air defense effectiveness, and potential retaliatory airstrikes, alongside diplomatic signals from NATO summits and US aid deliberations that could enable further operations before any resolution deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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