President Trump's continued active leadership, including a national address on April 1 detailing progress in U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran and the dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid a contentious tenure, underscores the absence of any immediate threats to his presidency, driving trader consensus to 99.1% "No" on departure by April 30. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, health crises, or viable impeachment proceedings have materialized, with the slim Republican House majority (217-214) blocking advancement of isolated resolutions like H.Res. 939. Historical rarity of early presidential exits reinforces this pricing. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden incapacity, improbable Senate conviction post-House impeachment, or voluntary resignation, though none appear imminent ahead of November midterms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJa
$500,971 Vol.
$500,971 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
Ja
$500,971 Vol.
$500,971 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's continued active leadership, including a national address on April 1 detailing progress in U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran and the dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid a contentious tenure, underscores the absence of any immediate threats to his presidency, driving trader consensus to 99.1% "No" on departure by April 30. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, health crises, or viable impeachment proceedings have materialized, with the slim Republican House majority (217-214) blocking advancement of isolated resolutions like H.Res. 939. Historical rarity of early presidential exits reinforces this pricing. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden incapacity, improbable Senate conviction post-House impeachment, or voluntary resignation, though none appear imminent ahead of November midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Volumen
$500,971Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's continued active leadership, including a national address on April 1 detailing progress in U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran and the dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid a contentious tenure, underscores the absence of any immediate threats to his presidency, driving trader consensus to 99.1% "No" on departure by April 30. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, health crises, or viable impeachment proceedings have materialized, with the slim Republican House majority (217-214) blocking advancement of isolated resolutions like H.Res. 939. Historical rarity of early presidential exits reinforces this pricing. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden incapacity, improbable Senate conviction post-House impeachment, or voluntary resignation, though none appear imminent ahead of November midterms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$500,971Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's continued active leadership, including a national address on April 1 detailing progress in U.S.-Israeli strikes against Iran and the dismissal of Attorney General Pam Bondi amid a contentious tenure, underscores the absence of any immediate threats to his presidency, driving trader consensus to 99.1% "No" on departure by April 30. No invocation of the 25th Amendment, health crises, or viable impeachment proceedings have materialized, with the slim Republican House majority (217-214) blocking advancement of isolated resolutions like H.Res. 939. Historical rarity of early presidential exits reinforces this pricing. Realistic shifts could stem from sudden incapacity, improbable Senate conviction post-House impeachment, or voluntary resignation, though none appear imminent ahead of November midterms.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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