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Politik·Weltwahlen

Rovigo-By-Election-Sieger

Market icon
Politik·Weltwahlen

Rovigo-By-Election-Sieger

Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%

Giacomo Bovolenta <1%

Giuseppe Padoan <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%

Giacomo Bovolenta <1%

Giuseppe Padoan <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Market icon

Alberto Di Rubba

$0 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Giacomo Bovolenta

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Giuseppe Padoan

$0 Vol.

No

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
23. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
23. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Rovigo-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Alberto Di Rubba" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Giacomo Bovolenta" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Rovigo-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 11, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Rovigo-By-Election-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Rovigo-By-Election-Sieger" ist „Alberto Di Rubba" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Giacomo Bovolenta" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Rovigo-By-Election-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.