Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—no Republican has held the office since Lincoln Almond left in 2003—and incumbent Governor Dan McKee's early polling leads of 20+ points over potential GOP challengers like former Newport Mayor Jeanne Boylan or businessman Donald Gagnon. Recent developments include McKee's formal re-election launch in July 2024 with robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, alongside Rhode Island's D+15 partisan lean in presidential races, reinforcing the frontrunner's commanding position. Upsets remain possible via a major McKee scandal, GOP primary consolidation behind a strong candidate, or a national Republican midterm-style wave, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election exceed 80% in safe states. Primaries in September 2026 could introduce volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
94%
Republikaner
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
$0 Vol.
94%
Republikaner
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—no Republican has held the office since Lincoln Almond left in 2003—and incumbent Governor Dan McKee's early polling leads of 20+ points over potential GOP challengers like former Newport Mayor Jeanne Boylan or businessman Donald Gagnon. Recent developments include McKee's formal re-election launch in July 2024 with robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, alongside Rhode Island's D+15 partisan lean in presidential races, reinforcing the frontrunner's commanding position. Upsets remain possible via a major McKee scandal, GOP primary consolidation behind a strong candidate, or a national Republican midterm-style wave, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election exceed 80% in safe states. Primaries in September 2026 could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—no Republican has held the office since Lincoln Almond left in 2003—and incumbent Governor Dan McKee's early polling leads of 20+ points over potential GOP challengers like former Newport Mayor Jeanne Boylan or businessman Donald Gagnon. Recent developments include McKee's formal re-election launch in July 2024 with robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, alongside Rhode Island's D+15 partisan lean in presidential races, reinforcing the frontrunner's commanding position. Upsets remain possible via a major McKee scandal, GOP primary consolidation behind a strong candidate, or a national Republican midterm-style wave, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election exceed 80% in safe states. Primaries in September 2026 could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 93.5% to win Rhode Island's 2026 gubernatorial election, driven by the state's longstanding Democratic dominance—no Republican has held the office since Lincoln Almond left in 2003—and incumbent Governor Dan McKee's early polling leads of 20+ points over potential GOP challengers like former Newport Mayor Jeanne Boylan or businessman Donald Gagnon. Recent developments include McKee's formal re-election launch in July 2024 with robust fundraising exceeding $1 million, alongside Rhode Island's D+15 partisan lean in presidential races, reinforcing the frontrunner's commanding position. Upsets remain possible via a major McKee scandal, GOP primary consolidation behind a strong candidate, or a national Republican midterm-style wave, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election exceed 80% in safe states. Primaries in September 2026 could introduce volatility.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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