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Wahlen·Weltwahlen

Next President of Benin

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Wahlen·Weltwahlen

Next President of Benin

NEU
Polymarket
NEU
Market icon

Romuald Wadagni

$6,916 Vol.

97%

Market icon

Paul Hounkpè

$976 Vol.

3%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni, Benin's Finance Minister and ruling coalition candidate backed by term-limited President Patrice Talon, holds commanding trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the April 12 presidential election, reflecting the opposition's severe fragmentation with only Paul Hounkpè of the FC BE party mounting a challenge. The March 27 campaign launch featured Wadagni's northern kickoff, where he pledged municipal police forces to combat jihadist threats along borders, alongside near-unanimous majority party endorsements—including a key defection by former President Boni Yayi's son from opposition ranks. This consolidation underscores Talon's institutional dominance; realistic challenges could arise from late-breaking scandals, health issues, or disputes over electoral integrity triggering a runoff or court intervention.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,892
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romuald Wadagni, Benin's Finance Minister and ruling coalition candidate backed by term-limited President Patrice Talon, holds commanding trader consensus at 97% implied probability for the April 12 presidential election, reflecting the opposition's severe fragmentation with only Paul Hounkpè of the FC BE party mounting a challenge. The March 27 campaign launch featured Wadagni's northern kickoff, where he pledged municipal police forces to combat jihadist threats along borders, alongside near-unanimous majority party endorsements—including a key defection by former President Boni Yayi's son from opposition ranks. This consolidation underscores Talon's institutional dominance; realistic challenges could arise from late-breaking scandals, health issues, or disputes over electoral integrity triggering a runoff or court intervention.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,892
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next President of Benin" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Romuald Wadagni" mit 97%, gefolgt von „Paul Hounkpè" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Next President of Benin" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Mar 19, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Next President of Benin" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next President of Benin" ist „Romuald Wadagni" mit 97%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Paul Hounkpè" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next President of Benin" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.