Market icon
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Market icon
Wahlen·Globale Wahlen

Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jordan Bardella 21%

Marine Le Pen 9%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 6%

Polymarket

$31,198,762 Vol.

Édouard Philippe 28%

Jordan Bardella 21%

Marine Le Pen 9%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 6%

Polymarket

$31,198,762 Vol.

Market icon

Édouard Philippe

$447,108 Vol.

28%

Market icon

Jordan Bardella

$666,341 Vol.

21%

Market icon

Marine Le Pen

$333,401 Vol.

9%

Market icon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$247,252 Vol.

6%

Market icon

David Lisnard

$759,891 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Dominique de Villepin

$860,991 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Raphaël Glucksmann

$503,631 Vol.

3%

Market icon

François Hollande

$592,232 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Bruno Retailleau

$937,683 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Sarah Knafo

$1,010,340 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Gabriel Attal

$866,688 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gérald Darmanin

$338,728 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Éric Zemmour

$364,177 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jean Castex

$478,026 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sébastien Lecornu

$640,327 Vol.

1%

Market icon

François Ruffin

$330,615 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain

$1,852,019 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,341,941 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Clémence Guetté

$1,655,646 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Laurent Wauquiez

$379,913 Vol.

1%

Market icon

François Asselineau

$1,701,292 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,349,838 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Élisabeth Borne

$1,577,770 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Juan Branco

$291,529 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Marine Tondelier

$414,538 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michel Barnier

$1,163,474 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou

$1,618,510 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Valérie Pécresse

$1,160,817 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard

$1,070,721 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Xavier Bertrand

$879,450 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure

$940,117 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ségolène Royal

$1,110,259 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Bernard Cazeneuve

$338,978 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Fabien Roussel

$1,126,852 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mathilde Panot

$1,106,270 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Carole Delga

$743,155 Vol.

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls following March 2026 municipal elections position former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe as the leading contender to defeat Rassemblement National president Jordan Bardella in a 2027 presidential runoff, with Elabe showing Philippe ahead 52%-49% and Odoxa at 52%-48%, fueling his trader consensus at 28% implied probability despite Bardella's first-round dominance around 35%. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor strengthened his centrist-right Horizons profile amid a fragmented field, while Bardella's 20% reflects RN's urban gains but vulnerability to anti-far-right vote consolidation. Marine Le Pen trails at 9% pending her summer ineligibility appeal. The tight race hinges on undecided voters, left-wing fragmentation, and potential economic shocks or scandals that could consolidate support or trigger snap developments before April 2027.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$31,198,762
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Recent polls following March 2026 municipal elections position former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe as the leading contender to defeat Rassemblement National president Jordan Bardella in a 2027 presidential runoff, with Elabe showing Philippe ahead 52%-49% and Odoxa at 52%-48%, fueling his trader consensus at 28% implied probability despite Bardella's first-round dominance around 35%. Philippe's reelection as Le Havre mayor strengthened his centrist-right Horizons profile amid a fragmented field, while Bardella's 20% reflects RN's urban gains but vulnerability to anti-far-right vote consolidation. Marine Le Pen trails at 9% pending her summer ineligibility appeal. The tight race hinges on undecided voters, left-wing fragmentation, and potential economic shocks or scandals that could consolidate support or trigger snap developments before April 2027.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volumen
$31,198,762
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 36 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 28%, gefolgt von „Jordan Bardella" mit 21%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 28¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $31.2 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 36 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" ist „Édouard Philippe" mit 28%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 28% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Jordan Bardella" mit 21%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.