Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella as the narrow frontrunner at 26.5% for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting National Rally's post-snap election momentum and recent polls showing him atop first-round ballots at 30-36%, while Édouard Philippe trails closely at 19.5% as a centrist alternative amid the Macron successor vacuum. The race stays tight due to a fragmented field—left divided (Mélenchon 9.5%), Le Pen diminished to 7.5% by her embezzlement conviction appeal, and no-confidence ouster of PM Barnier on December 4 leaving governance unstable. Separation could arise from Macron's new PM pick boosting insiders like Attal or Retailleau, unified left challenges, RN scandals, or 2025 regional polls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Nächste französische Präsidentschaftswahl
Jordan Bardella 27%
Édouard Philippe 20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%
Marine Le Pen 8%
$14,589,968 Vol.
$14,589,968 Vol.

Jordan Bardella
27%

Édouard Philippe
20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%

Marine Le Pen
8%

Dominique de Villepin
7%

Raphaël Glucksmann
4%

Bruno Retailleau
4%

Jean Castex
4%

Gabriel Attal
3%

François Hollande
3%

Sarah Knafo
3%

Sébastien Lecornu
2%

David Lisnard
2%

Gérald Darmanin
1%

Éric Zemmour
1%

Juan Branco
1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
<1%

Marine Tondelier
<1%

François Ruffin
<1%

Fabien Roussel
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
<1%

Carole Delga
<1%

François Asselineau
<1%

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure
<1%

Ségolène Royal
<1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain
<1%

Michel Barnier
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%

Mathilde Panot
<1%

Clémence Guetté
<1%
Jordan Bardella 27%
Édouard Philippe 20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10%
Marine Le Pen 8%
$14,589,968 Vol.
$14,589,968 Vol.

Jordan Bardella
27%

Édouard Philippe
20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
10%

Marine Le Pen
8%

Dominique de Villepin
7%

Raphaël Glucksmann
4%

Bruno Retailleau
4%

Jean Castex
4%

Gabriel Attal
3%

François Hollande
3%

Sarah Knafo
3%

Sébastien Lecornu
2%

David Lisnard
2%

Gérald Darmanin
1%

Éric Zemmour
1%

Juan Branco
1%

Bernard Cazeneuve
1%

Laurent Wauquiez
<1%

Marine Tondelier
<1%

François Ruffin
<1%

Fabien Roussel
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Manuel Bompard
<1%

Xavier Bertrand
<1%

Carole Delga
<1%

François Asselineau
<1%

Gruppeneintrag Titel: Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
<1%

Valérie Pécresse
<1%

Élisabeth Borne
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Olivier Faure
<1%

Ségolène Royal
<1%

Titel des Gruppeneintrags: Clémentine Autain
<1%

Michel Barnier
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: François Bayrou
<1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Yaël Braun-Pivet
<1%

Mathilde Panot
<1%

Clémence Guetté
<1%
The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Jordan Bardella as the narrow frontrunner at 26.5% for the 2027 French presidential election, reflecting National Rally's post-snap election momentum and recent polls showing him atop first-round ballots at 30-36%, while Édouard Philippe trails closely at 19.5% as a centrist alternative amid the Macron successor vacuum. The race stays tight due to a fragmented field—left divided (Mélenchon 9.5%), Le Pen diminished to 7.5% by her embezzlement conviction appeal, and no-confidence ouster of PM Barnier on December 4 leaving governance unstable. Separation could arise from Macron's new PM pick boosting insiders like Attal or Retailleau, unified left challenges, RN scandals, or 2025 regional polls.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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