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Technik·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

Market icon
Technik·Big Tech

NASA Artemis II

$678,655 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$678,655 Vol.

Polymarket

31. März

$185,891 Vol.

<1%

30. April

$114,064 Vol.

76%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission—the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft for a lunar flyby—stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, following key milestones that have bolstered trader sentiment. The fully stacked vehicle reached Launch Pad 39B on March 20 after wind-induced rollout delays from the Vehicle Assembly Building, overcoming prior hurdles like a February liquid hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal that shifted timelines from March. With the four-astronaut crew in quarantine, Flight Readiness Review complete, and pad closeouts underway, market-implied odds reflect confidence in the April 1–6 window. Watch for weather scrubs, final fueling tests, and NASA's live prelaunch coverage as catalysts that could sway positions.

NASA's Artemis II mission—the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft for a lunar flyby—stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, following key milestones that have bolstered trader sentiment. The fully stacked vehicle reached Launch Pad 39B on March 20 after wind-induced rollout delays from the Vehicle Assembly Building, overcoming prior hurdles like a February liquid hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal that shifted timelines from March. With the four-astronaut crew in quarantine, Flight Readiness Review complete, and pad closeouts underway, market-implied odds reflect confidence in the April 1–6 window. Watch for weather scrubs, final fueling tests, and NASA's live prelaunch coverage as catalysts that could sway positions.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission—the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft for a lunar flyby—stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, following key milestones that have bolstered trader sentiment. The fully stacked vehicle reached Launch Pad 39B on March 20 after wind-induced rollout delays from the Vehicle Assembly Building, overcoming prior hurdles like a February liquid hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal that shifted timelines from March. With the four-astronaut crew in quarantine, Flight Readiness Review complete, and pad closeouts underway, market-implied odds reflect confidence in the April 1–6 window. Watch for weather scrubs, final fueling tests, and NASA's live prelaunch coverage as catalysts that could sway positions.

NASA's Artemis II mission—the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft for a lunar flyby—stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, following key milestones that have bolstered trader sentiment. The fully stacked vehicle reached Launch Pad 39B on March 20 after wind-induced rollout delays from the Vehicle Assembly Building, overcoming prior hurdles like a February liquid hydrogen leak during wet dress rehearsal that shifted timelines from March. With the four-astronaut crew in quarantine, Flight Readiness Review complete, and pad closeouts underway, market-implied odds reflect confidence in the April 1–6 window. Watch for weather scrubs, final fueling tests, and NASA's live prelaunch coverage as catalysts that could sway positions.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„NASA Artemis II" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „30. April" mit 76%, gefolgt von „31. März" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 76¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „NASA Artemis II" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $678.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 20, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „NASA Artemis II" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „NASA Artemis II" ist „30. April" mit 76%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „31. März" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „NASA Artemis II" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.