$1,077,858 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
28. Februar
$31,686 Vol.
1%
31. März
$96,997 Vol.
11%
Essstäbchen fangen Super Heavy Booster?
$182,935 Vol.
17%
Explodiert der Super Heavy Booster?
$149,485 Vol.
63%
Erfolgreiche Wasserung?
$113,924 Vol.
61%
If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the 12th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Erstellt am: Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Volumen
$1,077,858Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 6, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...$1,077,858 Vol.
28. Februar
$31,686 Vol.
1%
31. März
$96,997 Vol.
11%
Essstäbchen fangen Super Heavy Booster?
$182,935 Vol.
17%
Explodiert der Super Heavy Booster?
$149,485 Vol.
63%
Erfolgreiche Wasserung?
$113,924 Vol.
61%
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"SpaceX Raumschiff-Flugtest 12" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Explodiert der Super Heavy Booster?" at 63%, followed by "Erfolgreiche Wasserung?" at 61%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "SpaceX Raumschiff-Flugtest 12" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "SpaceX Raumschiff-Flugtest 12," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "SpaceX Raumschiff-Flugtest 12" is "Explodiert der Super Heavy Booster?" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erfolgreiche Wasserung?" at 61%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "SpaceX Raumschiff-Flugtest 12" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions