No at 79.5% reflects the absence of any detected near-Earth objects large enough to produce a 5-kiloton airburst through the remainder of 2026, according to NASA JPL and ESA catalogs. Ongoing Sentry and Scout monitoring, plus refined orbits from recent detections, show only meter-scale objects making safe passes at lunar distances or greater, consistent with the low historical rate of such energetic events. Small fireballs recorded earlier in the year, including the March European event and October radar signatures, released far below the threshold, while annual meteor showers remain too diffuse to reach 5 kt. Traders weigh the continued lack of new impactors against the inherent limits of discovery for faint objects, with no resolution-critical data releases expected before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertView resolved

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