House Speaker Mike Johnson faces negligible near-term ouster risk, with traders pricing just 1% odds of removal by March 31 amid an intensifying partial DHS shutdown. Over the past week, Johnson rallied House Republicans to reject a Senate-passed funding bill that zeroed out ICE and CBP border operations, instead advancing a 60-day stopgap—earning conservative praise while drawing Democratic fire for prolonging airport delays and furloughs. No motion to vacate has emerged in the last 30 days, contrasting prior 2024 challenges he survived via bipartisan votes. Year-end odds at 40% Yes reflect the GOP's slim majority, midterm reelection pressures including Johnson's own Louisiana race, and looming fiscal deadlines like debt ceiling talks upon Congress's post-recess return around April 11.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMike Johnson verlässt als Sprecher von...?
Mike Johnson verlässt als Sprecher von...?
$93,515 Vol.
31. März 2026
1%
30. Juni 2026
7%
31. Dezember 2026
40%
$93,515 Vol.
31. März 2026
1%
30. Juni 2026
7%
31. Dezember 2026
40%
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...House Speaker Mike Johnson faces negligible near-term ouster risk, with traders pricing just 1% odds of removal by March 31 amid an intensifying partial DHS shutdown. Over the past week, Johnson rallied House Republicans to reject a Senate-passed funding bill that zeroed out ICE and CBP border operations, instead advancing a 60-day stopgap—earning conservative praise while drawing Democratic fire for prolonging airport delays and furloughs. No motion to vacate has emerged in the last 30 days, contrasting prior 2024 challenges he survived via bipartisan votes. Year-end odds at 40% Yes reflect the GOP's slim majority, midterm reelection pressures including Johnson's own Louisiana race, and looming fiscal deadlines like debt ceiling talks upon Congress's post-recess return around April 11.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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