Park Chan-dae's 92.5% implied probability as Democratic Party candidate for Incheon mayor stems from consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok seeking a rare third term, with February surveys showing Park ahead 34-52% to Yoo's 22-37% amid national momentum favoring the Democratic Party post-impeachment dynamics. Recent party nominations finalized in early March—Park on March 4 and Yoo on March 11—have solidified a two-way race, bolstered by Park's pledges for job creation, Songdo development, and airport union outreach. Trader consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on Park's incumbency challenger edge in this direct election. While barriers to upset are high, a Yoo mobilization surge, Park scandal, or conservative voter turnout spike before the June 3 vote could challenge this dominance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertPark Chan-dae 93%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.3%
Yoo Dong-soo <1%
Kim Kyo-heung <1%
$2,242,277 Vol.
$2,242,277 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
93%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Yoo Dong-soo
1%

Kim Kyo-heung
1%

Lee Hak-jae
1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
Park Chan-dae 93%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.3%
Yoo Dong-soo <1%
Kim Kyo-heung <1%
$2,242,277 Vol.
$2,242,277 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
93%

Yoo Jeong-bok
4%

Yoo Dong-soo
1%

Kim Kyo-heung
1%

Lee Hak-jae
1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Park Chan-dae's 92.5% implied probability as Democratic Party candidate for Incheon mayor stems from consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok seeking a rare third term, with February surveys showing Park ahead 34-52% to Yoo's 22-37% amid national momentum favoring the Democratic Party post-impeachment dynamics. Recent party nominations finalized in early March—Park on March 4 and Yoo on March 11—have solidified a two-way race, bolstered by Park's pledges for job creation, Songdo development, and airport union outreach. Trader consensus reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on Park's incumbency challenger edge in this direct election. While barriers to upset are high, a Yoo mobilization surge, Park scandal, or conservative voter turnout spike before the June 3 vote could challenge this dominance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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