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Politik·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl

Market icon
Politik·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl

TISZA 100.0%

DK <1%

LMP <1%

MSZP <1%

Polymarket

$63,742,491 Vol.

TISZA 100.0%

DK <1%

LMP <1%

MSZP <1%

Polymarket

$63,742,491 Vol.

Wird die Demokratische Koalition (DK) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

DK

$7,636,389 Vol.

Nein

Wird die Partei TISZA – Respekt und Freiheitspartei (TISZA) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

TISZA

$4,782,714 Vol.

Ja

Wird LMP – Die grüne Partei Ungarns (LMP) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

LMP

$15,379,380 Vol.

Nein

Wird die Ungarische Sozialistische Partei (MSZP) bei der nächsten Parlamentswahl in Ungarn die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

MSZP

$583,310 Vol.

Nein

Wird die Momentum-Bewegung (Momentum) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

Momentum

$976,957 Vol.

Nein

Wird die Bewegung Unsere Heimat (Mi Hazánk) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

Mi Hazánk

$1,602,436 Vol.

Nein

Wird Fidesz–KDNP bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

Fidesz-KDNP

$4,467,770 Vol.

Nein

Wird Dialog für Ungarn (Párbeszéd) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

Párbeszéd

$7,139,483 Vol.

Nein

Wird die Bewegung für ein besseres Ungarn (Jobbik) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

Jobbik

$16,550,426 Vol.

Nein

Wird die Christlich-Demokratische Volkspartei (KDNP) bei der nächsten ungarischen Parlamentswahl die meisten Sitze gewinnen? icon

KDNP

$4,623,627 Vol.

Nein

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election project Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party securing 136 seats in the 199-member National Assembly, enough for a two-thirds supermajority, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty on TISZA as the winner with the most seats. Incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz conceded defeat after 16 years in power, amid high turnout exceeding 70% and TISZA's sustained double-digit polling lead over recent months fueled by anti-corruption appeals and economic discontent. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains pending, the decisive margin leaves little room for realistic challenges like recounts or legal disputes to alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$63,742,491
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election project Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party securing 136 seats in the 199-member National Assembly, enough for a two-thirds supermajority, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty on TISZA as the winner with the most seats. Incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz conceded defeat after 16 years in power, amid high turnout exceeding 70% and TISZA's sustained double-digit polling lead over recent months fueled by anti-corruption appeals and economic discontent. While final certification by the National Election Commission remains pending, the decisive margin leaves little room for realistic challenges like recounts or legal disputes to alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volumen
$63,742,491
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „TISZA" mit 100%, gefolgt von „DK" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $63.7 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl" ist „TISZA" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „DK" mit 0%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der ungarischen Parlamentswahl" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.