Recent opinion polls conducted in late March 2026 by both independent pollsters like Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, as well as government-aligned Nézőpont Institute, consistently show Mi Hazánk securing third place in national list vote intentions at 4-8%, trailing Tisza and Fidesz-KDNP while far ahead of fragmented left-wing parties such as DK (1-3%), MSZP, Momentum, and others below the 5% parliamentary threshold. This positioning, reinforced by Mi Hazánk's steady far-right voter base amid opposition disunity, underpins trader consensus pricing its third-place outcome at 96.9% ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Potential challengers include a late-breaking scandal, unforeseen vote consolidation among smaller lists like MKKP, or significant polling errors in the mixed electoral system.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 96.8%
MKKP 1.1%
DK <1%
MSZP <1%
$53,514 Vol.
$53,514 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Mi Hazánk
97%
MKKP
1%
DK
1%
MSZP
1%
Momentum
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
LMP
<1%
Mi Hazánk 96.8%
MKKP 1.1%
DK <1%
MSZP <1%
$53,514 Vol.
$53,514 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
Mi Hazánk
$34,234 Vol.
97%
MKKP
$1,837 Vol.
1%
DK
$1,755 Vol.
1%
MSZP
$1,650 Vol.
1%
Momentum
$3,096 Vol.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,858 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
TISZA
$1,392 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$1,547 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$4,630 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent opinion polls conducted in late March 2026 by both independent pollsters like Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, as well as government-aligned Nézőpont Institute, consistently show Mi Hazánk securing third place in national list vote intentions at 4-8%, trailing Tisza and Fidesz-KDNP while far ahead of fragmented left-wing parties such as DK (1-3%), MSZP, Momentum, and others below the 5% parliamentary threshold. This positioning, reinforced by Mi Hazánk's steady far-right voter base amid opposition disunity, underpins trader consensus pricing its third-place outcome at 96.9% ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Potential challengers include a late-breaking scandal, unforeseen vote consolidation among smaller lists like MKKP, or significant polling errors in the mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volumen
$53,514Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent opinion polls conducted in late March 2026 by both independent pollsters like Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, as well as government-aligned Nézőpont Institute, consistently show Mi Hazánk securing third place in national list vote intentions at 4-8%, trailing Tisza and Fidesz-KDNP while far ahead of fragmented left-wing parties such as DK (1-3%), MSZP, Momentum, and others below the 5% parliamentary threshold. This positioning, reinforced by Mi Hazánk's steady far-right voter base amid opposition disunity, underpins trader consensus pricing its third-place outcome at 96.9% ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Potential challengers include a late-breaking scandal, unforeseen vote consolidation among smaller lists like MKKP, or significant polling errors in the mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Volumen
$53,514Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls conducted in late March 2026 by both independent pollsters like Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, as well as government-aligned Nézőpont Institute, consistently show Mi Hazánk securing third place in national list vote intentions at 4-8%, trailing Tisza and Fidesz-KDNP while far ahead of fragmented left-wing parties such as DK (1-3%), MSZP, Momentum, and others below the 5% parliamentary threshold. This positioning, reinforced by Mi Hazánk's steady far-right voter base amid opposition disunity, underpins trader consensus pricing its third-place outcome at 96.9% ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election. Potential challengers include a late-breaking scandal, unforeseen vote consolidation among smaller lists like MKKP, or significant polling errors in the mixed electoral system.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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