Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for a 32°C high in Singapore on March 29, closely trailed by 31°C at 35.5%, despite the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 4-day outlook forecasting a potential 34°C peak amid light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers. This positioning stems from recent observations, including March 28's 32.5°C maximum at Tuas South amid similar conditions, and the first half of March 2026 delivering daily highs around 34°C on most days—elevated above the climatological March average of 31°C due to persistent inter-monsoon warmth, urban heat island effects, and high humidity. Showers expected in the afternoon introduce uncertainty, often capping realized peaks below model ceilings, with NEA station data (e.g., Changi Airport) determining resolution. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning could shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Singapur am 29. März?
32°C 47%
31°C 36%
30°C 7.6%
33°C 8%
$40,992 Vol.
$40,992 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
47%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C oder höher
1%
32°C 47%
31°C 36%
30°C 7.6%
33°C 8%
$40,992 Vol.
$40,992 Vol.
25°C oder darunter
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
47%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47% implied probability for a 32°C high in Singapore on March 29, closely trailed by 31°C at 35.5%, despite the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest 4-day outlook forecasting a potential 34°C peak amid light variable winds and afternoon thundery showers. This positioning stems from recent observations, including March 28's 32.5°C maximum at Tuas South amid similar conditions, and the first half of March 2026 delivering daily highs around 34°C on most days—elevated above the climatological March average of 31°C due to persistent inter-monsoon warmth, urban heat island effects, and high humidity. Showers expected in the afternoon introduce uncertainty, often capping realized peaks below model ceilings, with NEA station data (e.g., Changi Airport) determining resolution. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning could shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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