Latest forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show strong consensus for Paris's highest temperature on March 28 around 11°C, driven by a persistent cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, positioning this outcome at 39% implied probability. Recent 24-hour updates reflect a slight downward shift from earlier runs anticipating 12–13°C, as GFS and European models adjusted for deepening low pressure over northern France, compressing the 10–12°C cluster (22% each) while extremes like 17°C+ fall below 1%. Historical late-March highs average 12°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor subdued warming; traders await intraday observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris, with resolution based on the maximum hourly reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 45%
10°C 22%
12°C 22%
9°C 10%
$28,208 Vol.
$28,208 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
10%
10°C
22%
11°C
45%
12°C
22%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 45%
10°C 22%
12°C 22%
9°C 10%
$28,208 Vol.
$28,208 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
10%
10°C
22%
11°C
45%
12°C
22%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show strong consensus for Paris's highest temperature on March 28 around 11°C, driven by a persistent cool northerly airflow and extensive cloud cover limiting daytime heating, positioning this outcome at 39% implied probability. Recent 24-hour updates reflect a slight downward shift from earlier runs anticipating 12–13°C, as GFS and European models adjusted for deepening low pressure over northern France, compressing the 10–12°C cluster (22% each) while extremes like 17°C+ fall below 1%. Historical late-March highs average 12°C, but current atmospheric patterns favor subdued warming; traders await intraday observations from official stations like Paris-Montsouris, with resolution based on the maximum hourly reading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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