National Weather Service forecasts from the New York office indicate a high temperature of 52-53°F at Central Park on March 29, driving the top market-implied probability of 37% as traders weigh model consensus amid post-frontal conditions. After a cold front passage on March 27-28 brought northerly winds and lows near 32°F, building high pressure will yield mostly sunny skies and light winds, fostering diurnal heating in a seasonably cool air mass with 850 mb temperatures around -2°C. GFS and NAM ensembles cluster highs at 51-55°F, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty reflected in nearby 50-51°F (21%) and 54-55°F (20.5%) odds. Evening forecast updates and early morning observations could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
52-53°F 37%
50-51°F 21%
54-55°F 21%
48-49°F 10%
$18,200 Vol.
$18,200 Vol.
47°F or below
4%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
37%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
52-53°F 37%
50-51°F 21%
54-55°F 21%
48-49°F 10%
$18,200 Vol.
$18,200 Vol.
47°F or below
4%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
21%
52-53°F
37%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts from the New York office indicate a high temperature of 52-53°F at Central Park on March 29, driving the top market-implied probability of 37% as traders weigh model consensus amid post-frontal conditions. After a cold front passage on March 27-28 brought northerly winds and lows near 32°F, building high pressure will yield mostly sunny skies and light winds, fostering diurnal heating in a seasonably cool air mass with 850 mb temperatures around -2°C. GFS and NAM ensembles cluster highs at 51-55°F, though minor discrepancies in boundary layer mixing introduce uncertainty reflected in nearby 50-51°F (21%) and 54-55°F (20.5%) odds. Evening forecast updates and early morning observations could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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