Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models for Dallas's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 68-71°F due to an approaching upper-level trough and cold front tied to Easter weekend patterns. Recent 24-hour updates from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread: some runs depict lingering cloud cover and northeast winds post-frontal passage capping highs near 68-69°F, while others forecast quicker clearing and downslope flow allowing 70-74°F peaks. Above-normal spring temperature outlooks provide a warmer baseline, but short-term severe storm risks through mid-week add variability; watch daily 12Z model runs and NWS advisories for shifts before resolution at DFW Airport's official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 5?
68-69°F 21%
74°F or higher 21%
70-71°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
17%
74°F or higher
21%
68-69°F 21%
74°F or higher 21%
70-71°F 20%
72-73°F 17%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
17%
74°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service and NOAA forecast models for Dallas's highest temperature on April 5, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 68-71°F due to an approaching upper-level trough and cold front tied to Easter weekend patterns. Recent 24-hour updates from GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a spread: some runs depict lingering cloud cover and northeast winds post-frontal passage capping highs near 68-69°F, while others forecast quicker clearing and downslope flow allowing 70-74°F peaks. Above-normal spring temperature outlooks provide a warmer baseline, but short-term severe storm risks through mid-week add variability; watch daily 12Z model runs and NWS advisories for shifts before resolution at DFW Airport's official observation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen