Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 86%
February 10 4.7%
February 14 2.6%
February 5 2.5%
$45,191 Umsatz
$45,191 Umsatz
February 2
$3,738 Umsatz
<1%
February 2
$3,738 Umsatz
<1%
February 3
$1,440 Umsatz
1%
February 3
$1,440 Umsatz
1%
February 4
$1,073 Umsatz
2%
February 4
$1,073 Umsatz
2%
February 5
$1,091 Umsatz
3%
February 5
$1,091 Umsatz
3%
February 6
$915 Umsatz
1%
February 6
$915 Umsatz
1%
February 7
$1,322 Umsatz
2%
February 7
$1,322 Umsatz
2%
February 8
$1,116 Umsatz
2%
February 8
$1,116 Umsatz
2%
February 9
$908 Umsatz
2%
February 9
$908 Umsatz
2%
February 10
$1,225 Umsatz
5%
February 10
$1,225 Umsatz
5%
February 11
$1,034 Umsatz
3%
February 11
$1,034 Umsatz
3%
February 12
$1,293 Umsatz
1%
February 12
$1,293 Umsatz
1%
February 13
$1,015 Umsatz
2%
February 13
$1,015 Umsatz
2%
February 14
$1,358 Umsatz
3%
February 14
$1,358 Umsatz
3%
No release by February 14
$10,147 Umsatz
86%
No release by February 14
$10,147 Umsatz
86%
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: No
Kein Widerspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 86%
February 10 4.7%
February 14 2.6%
February 5 2.5%
$45,191 Umsatz
$45,191 Umsatz
February 2
<1%
February 3
1%
February 4
2%
February 5
3%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
2%
February 9
2%
February 10
5%
February 11
3%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
3%
No release by February 14
86%
Über
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.