Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff maintains a consistent polling edge and substantial fundraising lead over the Republican field in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns an 83.5% implied probability to a Democratic victory. Recent primary polls show a fragmented GOP contest ahead of the May 19 vote, with Representative Mike Collins holding a modest advantage but facing competition from Representative Buddy Carter and others, which could delay unified opposition. Ossoff’s position benefits from his record on key state issues and appeal among independents and suburban voters, while the overall contest remains competitive given Georgia’s status as a battleground. Any consolidation by Republicans after the primary or shifts in national conditions could narrow the gap before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$25,838 Vol.
$25,838 Vol.

Demokrat
84%

Republikaner
17%
$25,838 Vol.
$25,838 Vol.

Demokrat
84%

Republikaner
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff maintains a consistent polling edge and substantial fundraising lead over the Republican field in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, supporting the current trader consensus that assigns an 83.5% implied probability to a Democratic victory. Recent primary polls show a fragmented GOP contest ahead of the May 19 vote, with Representative Mike Collins holding a modest advantage but facing competition from Representative Buddy Carter and others, which could delay unified opposition. Ossoff’s position benefits from his record on key state issues and appeal among independents and suburban voters, while the overall contest remains competitive given Georgia’s status as a battleground. Any consolidation by Republicans after the primary or shifts in national conditions could narrow the gap before November.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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