Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted or court-approved new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through mid-decade redistricting, a process largely absent since the 1800s. The wave began with Texas Republicans’ 2025 redraw aimed at adding seats, prompting Democratic responses via ballot measures in California and legislative action elsewhere. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered Voting Rights Act standards on racial considerations in districting, enabling further adjustments in Southern states and lifting some prior injunctions. Ongoing litigation in multiple states creates uncertainty over final implementation, while primaries approach and no further decennial census requires changes until after 2030. Trader focus centers on which maps survive court review before November 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$297,391 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
93%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
95%
Utah
88%
Florida
70%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
6%
Alabama
84%
South Carolina
9%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
11%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
4%
Minnesota
3%
New York
4%
Maryland
9%
Wisconsin
5%
$297,391 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
93%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
95%
Utah
88%
Florida
70%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
6%
Alabama
84%
South Carolina
9%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
11%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
4%
Minnesota
3%
New York
4%
Maryland
9%
Wisconsin
5%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted or court-approved new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through mid-decade redistricting, a process largely absent since the 1800s. The wave began with Texas Republicans’ 2025 redraw aimed at adding seats, prompting Democratic responses via ballot measures in California and legislative action elsewhere. A U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais altered Voting Rights Act standards on racial considerations in districting, enabling further adjustments in Southern states and lifting some prior injunctions. Ongoing litigation in multiple states creates uncertainty over final implementation, while primaries approach and no further decennial census requires changes until after 2030. Trader focus centers on which maps survive court review before November 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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