The fragile post-October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza, combined with stalled implementation of the U.S.-backed International Stabilization Force under UN Security Council Resolution 2803, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on prospects for foreign police, security, or military intervention. Israel blocked late-April site visits by delegations from Indonesia, Morocco, Kosovo, Kazakhstan, and Albania, citing the need for prior Hamas disarmament and technocratic governance, while Hamas has rejected foreign troops on the ground. The U.S. closed its primary Gaza monitoring mission on May 1 amid faltering Phase 2 negotiations, and Israeli officials threatened renewed operations on May 3 over aid and weapons issues. Ongoing truce violations and Cairo-mediated talks continue without any qualifying deployments to date, though scheduled diplomatic follow-ups could alter the outlook before the June 30 resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$613,278 Vol.

30. Juni
11%
$613,278 Vol.

30. Juni
11%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The fragile post-October 2025 ceasefire in Gaza, combined with stalled implementation of the U.S.-backed International Stabilization Force under UN Security Council Resolution 2803, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on prospects for foreign police, security, or military intervention. Israel blocked late-April site visits by delegations from Indonesia, Morocco, Kosovo, Kazakhstan, and Albania, citing the need for prior Hamas disarmament and technocratic governance, while Hamas has rejected foreign troops on the ground. The U.S. closed its primary Gaza monitoring mission on May 1 amid faltering Phase 2 negotiations, and Israeli officials threatened renewed operations on May 3 over aid and weapons issues. Ongoing truce violations and Cairo-mediated talks continue without any qualifying deployments to date, though scheduled diplomatic follow-ups could alter the outlook before the June 30 resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen