The stalled rollout of the International Stabilization Force remains the dominant factor shaping trader views on foreign intervention in Gaza. A US-brokered ceasefire marked its first anniversary in October 2025 with limited progress: Israel has expanded control to roughly 65 percent of the territory while conducting repeated strikes amid ceasefire violations, Hamas retains influence in remaining areas despite agreeing in principle to disarm, and the planned multinational force has yet to deploy beyond initial approvals and small commitments from nations including Morocco and Albania. Indonesia suspended its large contingent earlier due to regional priorities, while the Board of Peace continues sequencing talks linking withdrawal, governance transition, and reconstruction. Upcoming diplomatic contacts and any shift in Israeli policy could alter timelines for verified foreign troop entry.