The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% after the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot signaling one rate cut this year despite resilient labor data. March nonfarm payrolls surged 178,000—beating estimates—pushing unemployment to 4.3%, while February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing trader consensus for no near-term easing as CME FedWatch implies over 94% odds of a hold at the April 28-29 meeting. Geopolitical oil spikes have further shrunk cut probabilities, though brokerages eye two reductions later in 2026. Key watch: March CPI release on April 10, which could sway policy path expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,278,716 Vol.
April-Sitzung
1%
Juni-Sitzung
10%
Julisitzung
22%
September-Sitzung
41%
Oktober-Sitzung
55%
Dezember-Sitzung
64%
$1,278,716 Vol.
April-Sitzung
1%
Juni-Sitzung
10%
Julisitzung
22%
September-Sitzung
41%
Oktober-Sitzung
55%
Dezember-Sitzung
64%
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% after the March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with the dot plot signaling one rate cut this year despite resilient labor data. March nonfarm payrolls surged 178,000—beating estimates—pushing unemployment to 4.3%, while February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year, reinforcing trader consensus for no near-term easing as CME FedWatch implies over 94% odds of a hold at the April 28-29 meeting. Geopolitical oil spikes have further shrunk cut probabilities, though brokerages eye two reductions later in 2026. Key watch: March CPI release on April 10, which could sway policy path expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen