Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27-April 3, 2026, shows razor-thin margins between 240-259 (33.7% implied probability) and 260-279 (32.5%), driven by XTracker data logging 182 posts at 71% progress as of April 1—projecting roughly 256 total at the current 32-posts-per-day pace. This follows a 40-daily-average burst over March 30-April 1 amid viral political commentary on immigration and Irish cultural debates, plus Grok AI promos and Tesla Roadster unveil buzz. Steady social media engagement on culture-war flashpoints and tech updates sustains the deadlock, but surges tied to potential April 1 announcements or breaking news could tip the scales before the April 3 close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert240-259 34.6%
260-279 33%
280-299 16%
220-239 10.3%
$15,615,455 Vol.
$15,615,455 Vol.
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
1%
220-239
10%
240-259
35%
260-279
33%
280-299
16%
300-319
4%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 34.6%
260-279 33%
280-299 16%
220-239 10.3%
$15,615,455 Vol.
$15,615,455 Vol.
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
1%
220-239
10%
240-259
35%
260-279
33%
280-299
16%
300-319
4%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27-April 3, 2026, shows razor-thin margins between 240-259 (33.7% implied probability) and 260-279 (32.5%), driven by XTracker data logging 182 posts at 71% progress as of April 1—projecting roughly 256 total at the current 32-posts-per-day pace. This follows a 40-daily-average burst over March 30-April 1 amid viral political commentary on immigration and Irish cultural debates, plus Grok AI promos and Tesla Roadster unveil buzz. Steady social media engagement on culture-war flashpoints and tech updates sustains the deadlock, but surges tied to potential April 1 announcements or breaking news could tip the scales before the April 3 close.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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