Market icon

Elon Musk # Tweets 16. Januar - 23. Januar 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # Tweets 16. Januar - 23. Januar 2026?

460-479 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$25,105,373 Vol.

460-479 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$25,105,373 Vol.

<20

$254,019 Vol.

Nein

20-39

$185,206 Vol.

Nein

40-59

$220,466 Vol.

Nein

60-79

$328,446 Vol.

Nein

80-99

$137,073 Vol.

Nein

100-119

$193,977 Vol.

Nein

120-139

$386,839 Vol.

Nein

140-159

$381,603 Vol.

Nein

160-179

$163,153 Vol.

Nein

180-199

$151,098 Vol.

Nein

200-219

$235,890 Vol.

Nein

220-239

$201,210 Vol.

Nein

240-259

$172,378 Vol.

Nein

260-279

$341,357 Vol.

Nein

280-299

$636,935 Vol.

Nein

300-319

$1,151,832 Vol.

Nein

320-339

$914,928 Vol.

Nein

340-359

$974,738 Vol.

Nein

360-379

$1,134,856 Vol.

Nein

380-399

$928,497 Vol.

Nein

400-419

$1,064,179 Vol.

Nein

420-439

$990,868 Vol.

Nein

440-459

$1,364,151 Vol.

Nein

460-479

$1,553,493 Vol.

Ja

480-499

$1,330,464 Vol.

Nein

500-519

$1,402,435 Vol.

Nein

520-539

$1,239,522 Vol.

Nein

540-559

$1,175,663 Vol.

Nein

560-579

$1,200,212 Vol.

Nein

580-599

$1,120,336 Vol.

Nein

600-619

$577,480 Vol.

Nein

620-639

$554,468 Vol.

Nein

640-659

$550,866 Vol.

Nein

660-679

$354,745 Vol.

Nein

680–699

$424,803 Vol.

Nein

700–719

$361,496 Vol.

Nein

720-739

$347,331 Vol.

Nein

740+

$398,360 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 16 12:00 PM ET to January 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$25,105,373
Enddatum
Jan 23, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 16 12:00 PM ET to January 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # Tweets 16. Januar - 23. Januar 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "460-479" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # Tweets 16. Januar - 23. Januar 2026?" has generated $25.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # Tweets 16. Januar - 23. Januar 2026?," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # Tweets 16. Januar - 23. Januar 2026?" is "460-479" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # Tweets 16. Januar - 23. Januar 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.