Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale

$410,415 Vol.

12. Mai 2026
Polymarket

$410,415 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finnland

$326,452 Vol.

96%

Market icon

Schweden

$1,255 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Griechenland

$3,967 Vol.

94%

Market icon

Israel

$19,519 Vol.

88%

Market icon

Moldau

$1,426 Vol.

82%

Market icon

Kroatien

$2,256 Vol.

82%

Market icon

Serbien

$837 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Litauen

$2,309 Vol.

65%

Market icon

Polen

$7,153 Vol.

53%

Market icon

Belgien

$6,160 Vol.

51%

Market icon

Montenegro

$1,414 Vol.

57%

Market icon

Georgien

$166 Vol.

45%

Market icon

Portugal

$30,880 Vol.

32%

Market icon

Estland

$1,574 Vol.

20%

Market icon

San Marino

$5,045 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries—including Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—vie for the top 10 spots to advance to the Grand Final, joined by pre-qualified Germany and Italy who perform and vote. With all national selections finalized by early March, recent song releases like Georgia's Bzikebi "On Replay" and Poland's Alicja "Pray" have solidified trader consensus around strong melodic entries and established acts, while staging previews from pre-parties fuel momentum shifts. Running order reveals April 2 could spotlight frontrunners, as jury and televote dynamics—historically favoring Nordic pop and Balkan ballads—plus "Rest of the World" online votes, heighten uncertainty ahead of first rehearsals in late April.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$410,415
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts the 70th Eurovision Song Contest's First Semi-Final on May 12 at Wiener Stadthalle, where 15 countries—including Sweden's Felicia with "My System," Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen on "Liekinheitin," and Greece's Akylas delivering "Ferto"—vie for the top 10 spots to advance to the Grand Final, joined by pre-qualified Germany and Italy who perform and vote. With all national selections finalized by early March, recent song releases like Georgia's Bzikebi "On Replay" and Poland's Alicja "Pray" have solidified trader consensus around strong melodic entries and established acts, while staging previews from pre-parties fuel momentum shifts. Running order reveals April 2 could spotlight frontrunners, as jury and televote dynamics—historically favoring Nordic pop and Balkan ballads—plus "Rest of the World" online votes, heighten uncertainty ahead of first rehearsals in late April.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$410,415
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 15 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Finnland" mit 96%, gefolgt von „Schweden" mit 94%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $410.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 16, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 15 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" ist „Finnland" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Schweden" mit 94%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.