Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?

520-539 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$25,882,908 Vol.

520-539 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$25,882,908 Vol.

<20

$104,600 Vol.

Nein

20-39

$98,160 Vol.

Nein

40-59

$30,954 Vol.

Nein

60-79

$31,909 Vol.

Nein

80-99

$57,045 Vol.

Nein

100-119

$125,683 Vol.

Nein

120–139

$76,359 Vol.

Nein

140-159

$101,153 Vol.

Nein

160-179

$126,128 Vol.

Nein

180-199

$106,061 Vol.

Nein

200-219

$120,109 Vol.

Nein

220-239

$199,961 Vol.

Nein

240-259

$166,186 Vol.

Nein

260-279

$204,247 Vol.

Nein

280-299

$228,284 Vol.

Nein

300-319

$352,545 Vol.

Nein

320-339

$349,882 Vol.

Nein

340-359

$498,356 Vol.

Nein

360-379

$739,230 Vol.

Nein

380-399

$682,792 Vol.

Nein

400-419

$668,223 Vol.

Nein

420-439

$1,563,017 Vol.

Nein

440-459

$1,182,704 Vol.

Nein

460-479

$1,168,672 Vol.

Nein

480-499

$1,424,454 Vol.

Nein

500-519

$1,878,509 Vol.

Nein

520-539

$2,110,549 Vol.

Ja

540-559

$1,526,174 Vol.

Nein

560-579

$1,881,446 Vol.

Nein

580-599

$1,428,158 Vol.

Nein

600-619

$1,040,943 Vol.

Nein

620-639

$1,083,682 Vol.

Nein

640-659

$922,091 Vol.

Nein

660-679

$684,374 Vol.

Nein

680-699

$603,488 Vol.

Nein

700-719

$678,600 Vol.

Nein

720-739

$706,723 Vol.

Nein

740+

$931,458 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 30 12:00 PM ET to January 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$25,882,908
Enddatum
Jan 6, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 27, 2025, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 30 12:00 PM ET to January 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "520-539" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?" has generated $25.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?" is "520-539" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets December 30 - January 6, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.