Polls consistently show the CDU leading with around 22% support in the late February INSA survey and prior Infratest dimap BerlinTrend, positioning it as the frontrunner for plurality in Berlin's proportional representation system ahead of the September 20 election, where the largest party claims victory. This stability amid a fragmented field—AfD, Die Linke, SPD, and Grüne clustered at 15-17%—underpins trader consensus favoring CDU at implied 50.5% odds, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition and national CDU momentum under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. January's BerlinTrend noted no majority for the current black-red coalition, elevating multi-party talks, while Die Linke's occasional 18% peaks explain its elevated secondary odds over AfD and Greens. No polls since late February, but no major catalysts have emerged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertLandtagssieger Berlin
Landtagssieger Berlin
CDU 51%
Linke 13%
Grüne 11.6%
AfD 10.7%
$1,858,566 Vol.
$1,858,566 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
51%
Linke
13%
Grüne
12%
AfD
11%
SPD
9%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU 51%
Linke 13%
Grüne 11.6%
AfD 10.7%
$1,858,566 Vol.
$1,858,566 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$9,012 Vol.
51%
Linke
$8,150 Vol.
13%
Grüne
$23,086 Vol.
12%
AfD
$1,507,546 Vol.
11%
SPD
$281,769 Vol.
9%
BSW
$15,565 Vol.
1%
FDP
$8,318 Vol.
<1%
FW
$5,121 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polls consistently show the CDU leading with around 22% support in the late February INSA survey and prior Infratest dimap BerlinTrend, positioning it as the frontrunner for plurality in Berlin's proportional representation system ahead of the September 20 election, where the largest party claims victory. This stability amid a fragmented field—AfD, Die Linke, SPD, and Grüne clustered at 15-17%—underpins trader consensus favoring CDU at implied 50.5% odds, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition and national CDU momentum under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. January's BerlinTrend noted no majority for the current black-red coalition, elevating multi-party talks, while Die Linke's occasional 18% peaks explain its elevated secondary odds over AfD and Greens. No polls since late February, but no major catalysts have emerged.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Markt eröffnet: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Volumen
$1,858,566Enddatum
Sep 20, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Polls consistently show the CDU leading with around 22% support in the late February INSA survey and prior Infratest dimap BerlinTrend, positioning it as the frontrunner for plurality in Berlin's proportional representation system ahead of the September 20 election, where the largest party claims victory. This stability amid a fragmented field—AfD, Die Linke, SPD, and Grüne clustered at 15-17%—underpins trader consensus favoring CDU at implied 50.5% odds, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition and national CDU momentum under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. January's BerlinTrend noted no majority for the current black-red coalition, elevating multi-party talks, while Die Linke's occasional 18% peaks explain its elevated secondary odds over AfD and Greens. No polls since late February, but no major catalysts have emerged.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$1,858,566Enddatum
Sep 20, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polls consistently show the CDU leading with around 22% support in the late February INSA survey and prior Infratest dimap BerlinTrend, positioning it as the frontrunner for plurality in Berlin's proportional representation system ahead of the September 20 election, where the largest party claims victory. This stability amid a fragmented field—AfD, Die Linke, SPD, and Grüne clustered at 15-17%—underpins trader consensus favoring CDU at implied 50.5% odds, bolstered by incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition and national CDU momentum under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. January's BerlinTrend noted no majority for the current black-red coalition, elevating multi-party talks, while Die Linke's occasional 18% peaks explain its elevated secondary odds over AfD and Greens. No polls since late February, but no major catalysts have emerged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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