semantics
Not Pennys Boat
$8,935.62
Positions Value
$278.87
Biggest Win
188
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
78.8¢
85.4¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
85.5¢
86.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
61.3¢
62.5¢
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
40.6¢
70.5¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
82.9¢
89.5¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
88.3¢
91.5¢
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
54.5¢
55.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
39.9¢
86.1¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
86.8¢
92.5¢
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
84.1¢
94.5¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
23.7¢
25.8¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
85.2¢
91.5¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?