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risk-manager

Joined Oct 2024·33.5K views

$159.2K

Positions Value

$677.7K

Biggest Win

851

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$788.44
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 80.7¢
34,969.2 shares
$30,895.28$2,672.24 (9.47%)
icon for Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 30.9¢
111,332.6 shares
$21,542.85-$12,870.27 (-37.4%)
icon for Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8¢
2,033,720.9 shares
$17,286.63$1,016.86 (6.25%)
icon for Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

No 83.7¢
14,916.5 shares
$13,051.90$560.29 (4.49%)
icon for Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51¢
20,490.8 shares
$10,347.88-$102.45 (-0.98%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 80.2¢
11,500.0 shares
$9,774.99$555.02 (6.02%)
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 88.8¢
10,000.1 shares
$7,875.06-$1,009.08 (-11.36%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Yes 87.5¢
6,500.0 shares
$5,525.00-$165.00 (-2.9%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

No 84.4¢
6,067.6 shares
$4,944.50-$177.85 (-3.47%)
icon for Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

No 88.8¢
5,000.0 shares
$4,724.99$285.00 (6.42%)
icon for Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 75¢
4,500.0 shares
$3,982.47$607.53 (18%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 19.5¢
8,538.1 shares
$3,714.07$2,050.06 (123.2%)
icon for Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1¢
1,011,311.6 shares
$1,516.97$505.66 (50%)
icon for Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 14.8¢
19,158.3 shares
$1,436.87-$1,388.98 (-49.15%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

No 88¢
1,500.0 shares
$1,398.75$78.75 (5.97%)
icon for Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1¢
2,703,321.2 shares
$1,351.66-$1,351.66 (-50%)
icon for Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Yes 69.7¢
2,000.0 shares
$1,279.99-$114.99 (-8.24%)
icon for Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6¢
398,456.2 shares
$996.14-$1,394.20 (-58.33%)