Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
89.6¢
99.7¢

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
94.7¢
99.6¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
85.9¢
99.9¢

Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
68.5¢
94¢

Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
94.3¢
97.6¢

Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
96.4¢
100¢

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
86.1¢
97¢

Will the Democrats (D) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
55.1¢
55.5¢

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
84.7¢
94.6¢

Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
12.2¢
14.5¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
81.1¢
99.1¢

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
2.1¢
91¢

Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
56.7¢
75.5¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
93.6¢
99.9¢

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
92.1¢
89.5¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
