The decisive driver behind the 86% market-implied probability for “Other (Season Cancelled)” is ABC and Disney Entertainment Television’s March 19, 2026 decision to pull Taylor Frankie Paul’s already-filmed season hours before its scheduled March 22 premiere. A newly surfaced 2023 video of the *Secret Lives of Mormon Wives* star in a physical altercation with ex Dakota Mortensen triggered the network’s abrupt halt, citing family support over broadcast. With no revival greenlit and the November 30, 2026 resolution deadline approaching, traders treat the unaired season as a non-event rather than a completed competition. Doug Mason, the spoiler-reported frontrunner who reportedly received the final rose, holds just 10% as the only named outcome with measurable but limited support amid the unresolved status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBachelorette Season 22 Winner
Other (Season Cancelled) 86%
Doug Mason 10.0%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
Michael Baba <1%
$2,465,931 Vol.
$2,465,931 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
86%
Doug Mason
10%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Other (Season Cancelled) 86%
Doug Mason 10.0%
Johnnie LaRossa <1%
Michael Baba <1%
$2,465,931 Vol.
$2,465,931 Vol.
Other (Season Cancelled)
86%
Doug Mason
10%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Clayton Johnson
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Matt Carroll
1%
Shane Parton
<1%
Brandon Perce
<1%
Rod Strozier
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Ronn Perez
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Richard Van De Water
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The decisive driver behind the 86% market-implied probability for “Other (Season Cancelled)” is ABC and Disney Entertainment Television’s March 19, 2026 decision to pull Taylor Frankie Paul’s already-filmed season hours before its scheduled March 22 premiere. A newly surfaced 2023 video of the *Secret Lives of Mormon Wives* star in a physical altercation with ex Dakota Mortensen triggered the network’s abrupt halt, citing family support over broadcast. With no revival greenlit and the November 30, 2026 resolution deadline approaching, traders treat the unaired season as a non-event rather than a completed competition. Doug Mason, the spoiler-reported frontrunner who reportedly received the final rose, holds just 10% as the only named outcome with measurable but limited support amid the unresolved status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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