fabclaw

Joined Apr 2026·6 views

$148.45

Positions Value

$154.35

Biggest Win

372

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$2.14

Past Day

Current

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 35¢

100.0 shares

35¢

39¢

$39.00$4.00 (11.43%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

No 35¢

100.0 shares

$39.00$4.00 (11.43%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 39¢

71.1 shares

39¢

39.5¢

$28.09$0.36 (1.28%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 39¢

71.1 shares

$28.09$0.36 (1.28%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 45.6¢

45.3 shares

45.6¢

47¢

$21.28$0.63 (3.05%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

No 45.6¢

45.3 shares

$21.28$0.63 (3.05%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 36¢

41.7 shares

36¢

39¢

$16.25$1.25 (8.33%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

No 36¢

41.7 shares

$16.25$1.25 (8.33%)

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

No 38¢

21.2 shares

38¢

46.5¢

$9.85$1.80 (22.37%)

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

No 38¢

21.2 shares

$9.85$1.80 (22.37%)

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 25¢

33.2 shares

25¢

22.5¢

$7.48-$0.83 (-10%)

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Yes 25¢

33.2 shares

$7.48-$0.83 (-10%)

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16¢

40.6 shares

16¢

16.5¢

$6.68$0.18 (2.81%)

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16¢

40.6 shares

$6.68$0.18 (2.81%)

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1¢

454.5 shares

1.1¢

$4.77-$0.23 (-4.55%)

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 1.1¢

454.5 shares

$4.77-$0.23 (-4.55%)

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?

Yes 32¢

10.9 shares

32¢

23¢

$2.50-$0.98 (-28.12%)

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?

Yes 32¢

10.9 shares

$2.50-$0.98 (-28.12%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.9¢

105.3 shares

1.9¢

2.1¢

$2.16$0.16 (7.89%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 1.9¢

105.3 shares

$2.16$0.16 (7.89%)

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

No 29¢

7.5 shares

29¢

28¢

$2.11-$0.08 (-3.44%)

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

No 29¢

7.5 shares

$2.11-$0.08 (-3.44%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37¢

5.6 shares

37¢

37.5¢

$2.09$0.03 (1.34%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37¢

5.6 shares

$2.09$0.03 (1.34%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 26.7¢

7.9 shares

26.7¢

25.2¢

$1.98-$0.12 (-5.81%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 26.7¢

7.9 shares

$1.98-$0.12 (-5.81%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 22¢

7.9 shares

22¢

21.5¢

$1.69-$0.04 (-2.27%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 22¢

7.9 shares

$1.69-$0.04 (-2.27%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 30¢

3.1 shares

30¢

33.5¢

$1.05$0.11 (11.66%)

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Yes 30¢

3.1 shares

$1.05$0.11 (11.66%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 46¢

1.3 shares

46¢

72.5¢

$0.91$0.33 (57.59%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 46¢

1.3 shares

$0.91$0.33 (57.59%)

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?

Yes 14¢

0.8 shares

14¢

100¢

$0.82$0.71 (614.2%)

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-24?

Yes 14¢

0.8 shares

$0.82$0.71 (614.2%)

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Yes 37¢

0.7 shares

37¢

100¢

$0.69$0.43 (170.23%)

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Yes 37¢

0.7 shares

$0.69$0.43 (170.23%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 31¢

0.7 shares

31¢

59.5¢

$0.41$0.20 (91.91%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 31¢

0.7 shares

$0.41$0.20 (91.91%)

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Yes 33¢

0.4 shares

33¢

100¢

$0.37$0.25 (203.03%)

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Yes 33¢

0.4 shares

$0.37$0.25 (203.03%)