Profit/Loss
Past Day

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
93.4¢
97.1¢

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
80.2¢
79.1¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
67.4¢
78.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
46.6¢
44.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
62.5¢
68.5¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
80.1¢
79.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
66.7¢
57.5¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
92.6¢
94.4¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
50.2¢
68.5¢

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
47.1¢
38¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
29.3¢
33.5¢

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
68¢
66.5¢

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
56.1¢
69.5¢

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
72.4¢
79¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?