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就职典礼 预测与赔率

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Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

73%

June 30

$15M 交易量

$787K today

$304K Liq.

402

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

97%

June 30

$31M 交易量

$697K today

$524K Liq.

662

Ends 9 天前

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M 交易量

$309K today

$470K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

100%

December 31

$903K 交易量

$448K today

$96.0K Liq.

79

Ends 大约 1 个月前

Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

71%

May 13

$1M 交易量

$209K today

$384K Liq.

75

Ends 22 天内

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

98%

Xi Jinping

$369K 交易量

$160K today

$88.0K Liq.

Ends 22 天内

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

15%

$367K 交易量

$119K today

$24.8K Liq.

4

Ends 22 天内

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$1M 交易量

$104K today

$578K Liq.

1

Ends 22 天内

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

37%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$320K 交易量

$71.9K today

$113K Liq.

Ends 22 天内

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

May 28

$258K 交易量

$52.7K today

$108K Liq.

Ends 22 天内

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

59%

140-159

$211K 交易量

$51.8K today

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 小时内

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

92%

No meeting by June 30

$5M 交易量

$207K Liq.

24

Ends 大约 2 个月内

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

1%

$528K 交易量

$49.8K Liq.

39

Ends 22 天内

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

14%

$8M 交易量

$814K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K 交易量

$150K Liq.

28

Ends 8 个月内

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

97%

Xi Jinping

$138K 交易量

$38.5K Liq.

Ends 22 天内

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

37%

140-159

$57.6K 交易量

$40.7K Liq.

Ends 4 天内

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$552K 交易量

$18.6K Liq.

31

Ends 8 个月内

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

73%

Iran

$17.9K 交易量

$57.2K Liq.

6

Ends 6 天内

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

99%

Xi Jinping

$399K 交易量

$82.9K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 就职典礼 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 223 个活跃的 就职典礼 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $71.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Will Trump visit China by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Will Trump visit China by...?",市场目前认为 June 30 的概率为 97%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 就职典礼 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。