President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act to deploy active-duty military or federalize National Guard units amid protests over Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations, most recently in January 2026 following a fatal shooting by an ICE agent during raids in Minneapolis. Earlier considerations arose in 2025 related to southern border control and demonstrations in Los Angeles and other cities, though official reports at the time recommended against action and no invocation occurred. Congressional proposals to limit presidential authority under the 1807 statute remain pending, while ongoing enforcement surges and potential escalations in protest activity continue to shape assessments of whether conditions for formal invocation will arise before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,087,710 交易量
6月30日
6%
12月31日
26%
$1,087,710 交易量
6月30日
6%
12月31日
26%
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act to deploy active-duty military or federalize National Guard units amid protests over Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations, most recently in January 2026 following a fatal shooting by an ICE agent during raids in Minneapolis. Earlier considerations arose in 2025 related to southern border control and demonstrations in Los Angeles and other cities, though official reports at the time recommended against action and no invocation occurred. Congressional proposals to limit presidential authority under the 1807 statute remain pending, while ongoing enforcement surges and potential escalations in protest activity continue to shape assessments of whether conditions for formal invocation will arise before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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