President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against intensified ICE enforcement operations, most recently in Minnesota following a January 2026 incident involving a fatal shooting by federal agents that sparked sustained demonstrations. Earlier considerations tied to southern border control and unrest in cities such as Los Angeles, Portland, and Chicago did not result in invocation after internal reviews recommended against it. Congressional efforts to narrow the 1807 law’s scope advanced in 2025 but remain unresolved. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns modest implied probability to near-term use, consistent with the president’s pattern of public warnings without deployment and the absence of qualifying conditions under the statute to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,088,157 交易量
2026-12-31
6月30日
1%
12月31日
25%
$1,088,157 交易量
6月30日
$71,512 交易量
1%
12月31日
$133,051 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against intensified ICE enforcement operations, most recently in Minnesota following a January 2026 incident involving a fatal shooting by federal agents that sparked sustained demonstrations. Earlier considerations tied to southern border control and unrest in cities such as Los Angeles, Portland, and Chicago did not result in invocation after internal reviews recommended against it. Congressional efforts to narrow the 1807 law’s scope advanced in 2025 but remain unresolved. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns modest implied probability to near-term use, consistent with the president’s pattern of public warnings without deployment and the absence of qualifying conditions under the statute to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
交易量
$1,088,157结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against intensified ICE enforcement operations, most recently in Minnesota following a January 2026 incident involving a fatal shooting by federal agents that sparked sustained demonstrations. Earlier considerations tied to southern border control and unrest in cities such as Los Angeles, Portland, and Chicago did not result in invocation after internal reviews recommended against it. Congressional efforts to narrow the 1807 law’s scope advanced in 2025 but remain unresolved. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns modest implied probability to near-term use, consistent with the president’s pattern of public warnings without deployment and the absence of qualifying conditions under the statute to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,088,157结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against intensified ICE enforcement operations, most recently in Minnesota following a January 2026 incident involving a fatal shooting by federal agents that sparked sustained demonstrations. Earlier considerations tied to southern border control and unrest in cities such as Los Angeles, Portland, and Chicago did not result in invocation after internal reviews recommended against it. Congressional efforts to narrow the 1807 law’s scope advanced in 2025 but remain unresolved. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns modest implied probability to near-term use, consistent with the president’s pattern of public warnings without deployment and the absence of qualifying conditions under the statute to date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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