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辞职 预测与赔率

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Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

4%

$20.3K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$482K 交易量

$55.3K Liq.

28

Ends 7 个月内

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

54%

December 31

$122M 交易量

$66.4K today

$127K Liq.

34

Ends 7 个月内

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?

7%

$3.9K 交易量

$819 Liq.

Ends 17 天内

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

62%

$13.9K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

8%

$508K 交易量

$29.2K Liq.

5

Ends 7 个月内

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

11%

Dong Jun

$171K 交易量

$109K Liq.

17

Ends 7 个月内

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M 交易量

$418K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

53%

$13.9K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

Ends 6 天内

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$7M 交易量

$101K today

$262K Liq.

Ends 17 天内

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

53%

Kash Patel

$1M 交易量

$53.5K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

54%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$42.2K Liq.

132

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

81%

December 31

$32M 交易量

$83.6K today

$272K Liq.

1,757

Ends 5 个月前

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

19%

June 30

$482K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

198

Ends 17 天内

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

9%

$110K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$215K 交易量

$27.9K Liq.

69

Ends 7 个月内

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

60%

Burnham 9%+

$26.5K 交易量

$70.8K Liq.

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

16%

$18.3K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by...?

60%

December 31

$21.0K 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$104K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

3

Ends 7 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 辞职 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 110 个活跃的 辞职 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Will Trump resign before 2027?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $174.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Netanyahu out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Netanyahu out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 辞职 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。