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辞职 预测与赔率

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Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

13%

May 31

$13.4K 交易量

$3.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

6%

$17.4K 交易量

$10.2K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$432K 交易量

$150K Liq.

28

Ends 8 个月内

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M 交易量

$249K Liq.

34

Ends 8 个月内

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

47%

$12.6K 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K 交易量

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

8%

Dong Jun

$157K 交易量

$106K Liq.

15

Ends 8 个月内

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M 交易量

$531K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

64%

Andy Burnham

$27.2K 交易量

$55.9K Liq.

6

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$2M 交易量

$68.4K today

$594K Liq.

1

Ends 14 天内

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M 交易量

$435K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

68%

Kash Patel

$1M 交易量

$149K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

71%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$86.9K Liq.

121

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

88%

December 31

$27M 交易量

$958K today

$363K Liq.

1,633

Ends 5 个月前

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

15%

$20.8K 交易量

$43.1K Liq.

2

Ends 8 个月内

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

10%

$34.3K 交易量

$13.5K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$204K 交易量

$39.1K Liq.

70

Ends 8 个月内

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

13%

$15.2K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

Ends 8 个月内

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$102K 交易量

$11.6K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 辞职 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 110 个活跃的 辞职 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $166.6M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President by June 30?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Netanyahu out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Netanyahu out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 辞职 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。