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预测与赔率

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Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$121M 交易量

$136K today

$149K Liq.

34

Ends 7 个月内

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

72%

December 31

$30M 交易量

$106K today

$267K Liq.

1,719

Ends 5 个月前

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

1%

$3M 交易量

$101K today

$98.5K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$10M 交易量

$51.3K today

$194K Liq.

707

Ends 7 个月内

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

11%

$9M 交易量

$268K Liq.

Ends 7 个月内

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$6M 交易量

$341K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M 交易量

$208K Liq.

1

Ends 7 个月内

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

1%

$712K 交易量

$16.2K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

2%

$302K 交易量

$41.4K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$3M 交易量

$270K Liq.

1

Ends 5 天内

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

59%

Petro - Colombia President

$461K 交易量

$334K Liq.

7

Ends 7 个月内

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

59%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$91.8K Liq.

131

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

1%

$3M 交易量

$48.8K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

22%

June 30, 2026

$785K 交易量

$23.1K Liq.

43

Ends 大约 2 个月前

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

51%

$229K 交易量

$37.2K Liq.

52

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

64%

December 31

$2M 交易量

$109K Liq.

68

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

32%

December 31, 2026

$324K 交易量

$54.4K Liq.

56

Ends 7 个月内

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

18%

$46.2K 交易量

$26.7K Liq.

4

Ends 7 个月内

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

<1%

$19.1K 交易量

$20.2K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

98%

December 31

$433K 交易量

$68.3K Liq.

131

Ends 7 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 出 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 329 个活跃的 出 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Netanyahu out by...?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $194.0M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Trump out as President before 2027?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Netanyahu out by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Netanyahu out by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 出 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。