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求职者开放 预测与赔率

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2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate

76%

Jordan Bardella

$3.7K 交易量

$15.5K Liq.

4

Ends 11 个月内

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

74%

Bass & Pratt

$195 交易量

$33.0K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

73%

0

$4.8K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

84%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$113K 交易量

$41.6K Liq.

32

Ends 6 个月内

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

43%

1

$5.0K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

LA Mayoral Election: 1st Round Margin of Victory?

24%

Bass 0–5%

$17.7K 交易量

$105K Liq.

Ends 14 天内

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

<1%

Massie 6%+

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大约 9 小时内

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

40%

7-9

$2.1K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

8%

>15

$52.3K 交易量

$12.6K Liq.

1

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

Colombia Election 1st Round: Margin of Victory?

34%

Cepeda Castro 10-15%

$16.4K 交易量

$95.4K Liq.

Ends 12 天内

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

21%

Cornyn <3%

$59.6K 交易量

$69.1K Liq.

1

Ends 6 天内

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

99%

Ramaswamy 60-70%

$66.3K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

2

Ends 14 天前

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

99%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$3M 交易量

$378K Liq.

3

Ends 15 天内

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

$84.1K 交易量

$17.9K Liq.

9

Ends 6 个月内

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

31%

Lula da Silva <5%

$232K 交易量

$74.1K Liq.

10

Ends 5 个月内

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$235K 交易量

$151K Liq.

2

Ends 6 个月内

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M 交易量

$232K Liq.

7

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing Ever Happens: March

62%

Nothing

$342K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

Ends 大约 2 个月前

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

34%

22–23

$667K 交易量

$57.5K Liq.

4

Ends 6 个月内

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 19?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 19?

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$14 Liq.

Ends 1 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 求职者开放 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 119 个活跃的 求职者开放 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $6.7M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner",市场目前认为 Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 求职者开放 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。