Jordan Bardella holds a clear lead as the likely National Rally candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 conviction for embezzlement of European Parliament funds, which imposed a five-year ban from public office pending her July 2026 appeal. Recent opinion polls show Bardella matching or exceeding Le Pen in first-round voting intentions and performing strongly in runoff scenarios against potential opponents. The party’s strong results in the 2026 municipal elections have further reinforced Bardella’s momentum as president of the Rassemblement National, while Le Pen remains formally in contention but faces structural barriers from the legal process. Trader pricing reflects this succession dynamic and the limited near-term prospects for alternative outcomes within the party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jordan Bardella 72%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 4.3%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
25%
Jordan Bardella
74%
Multiple Candidates
4%
Jordan Bardella 72%
Marine Le Pen 25%
Multiple Candidates 4.3%
最新
最新
2027-04-23
Marine Le Pen
$1,290 交易量
25%
Jordan Bardella
$2,910 交易量
74%
Multiple Candidates
$622 交易量
4%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella holds a clear lead as the likely National Rally candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 conviction for embezzlement of European Parliament funds, which imposed a five-year ban from public office pending her July 2026 appeal. Recent opinion polls show Bardella matching or exceeding Le Pen in first-round voting intentions and performing strongly in runoff scenarios against potential opponents. The party’s strong results in the 2026 municipal elections have further reinforced Bardella’s momentum as president of the Rassemblement National, while Le Pen remains formally in contention but faces structural barriers from the legal process. Trader pricing reflects this succession dynamic and the limited near-term prospects for alternative outcomes within the party.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$4,822结束日期
2027-04-23市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella holds a clear lead as the likely National Rally candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 conviction for embezzlement of European Parliament funds, which imposed a five-year ban from public office pending her July 2026 appeal. Recent opinion polls show Bardella matching or exceeding Le Pen in first-round voting intentions and performing strongly in runoff scenarios against potential opponents. The party’s strong results in the 2026 municipal elections have further reinforced Bardella’s momentum as president of the Rassemblement National, while Le Pen remains formally in contention but faces structural barriers from the legal process. Trader pricing reflects this succession dynamic and the limited near-term prospects for alternative outcomes within the party.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.
If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.
If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,822结束日期
2027-04-23市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Bardella holds a clear lead as the likely National Rally candidate for France’s 2027 presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 conviction for embezzlement of European Parliament funds, which imposed a five-year ban from public office pending her July 2026 appeal. Recent opinion polls show Bardella matching or exceeding Le Pen in first-round voting intentions and performing strongly in runoff scenarios against potential opponents. The party’s strong results in the 2026 municipal elections have further reinforced Bardella’s momentum as president of the Rassemblement National, while Le Pen remains formally in contention but faces structural barriers from the legal process. Trader pricing reflects this succession dynamic and the limited near-term prospects for alternative outcomes within the party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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