U.S.-Venezuela tensions escalated dramatically on January 3, 2026, when American forces launched airstrikes in Caracas, culminating in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro under a Trump administration directive targeting Latin American drug cartels and securing oil resources. This precision operation, decried as unconstitutional by Democrats and some international bodies like the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, has not involved ground troops or occupation, prompting debates over escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects low invasion probability absent broader military mobilization, amid congressional resolutions, sanctions on Maduro allies, and regional wariness from Colombia and Brazil. Upcoming Senate hearings and potential UN Security Council sessions could signal further diplomatic or military postures before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$14,128,576 交易量
2026-03-31
12月31日
15%
$14,128,576 交易量
12月31日
$172,567 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S.-Venezuela tensions escalated dramatically on January 3, 2026, when American forces launched airstrikes in Caracas, culminating in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro under a Trump administration directive targeting Latin American drug cartels and securing oil resources. This precision operation, decried as unconstitutional by Democrats and some international bodies like the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, has not involved ground troops or occupation, prompting debates over escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects low invasion probability absent broader military mobilization, amid congressional resolutions, sanctions on Maduro allies, and regional wariness from Colombia and Brazil. Upcoming Senate hearings and potential UN Security Council sessions could signal further diplomatic or military postures before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
交易量
$14,128,576结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S.-Venezuela tensions escalated dramatically on January 3, 2026, when American forces launched airstrikes in Caracas, culminating in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro under a Trump administration directive targeting Latin American drug cartels and securing oil resources. This precision operation, decried as unconstitutional by Democrats and some international bodies like the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, has not involved ground troops or occupation, prompting debates over escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects low invasion probability absent broader military mobilization, amid congressional resolutions, sanctions on Maduro allies, and regional wariness from Colombia and Brazil. Upcoming Senate hearings and potential UN Security Council sessions could signal further diplomatic or military postures before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$14,128,576结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Nov 3, 2025, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
U.S.-Venezuela tensions escalated dramatically on January 3, 2026, when American forces launched airstrikes in Caracas, culminating in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro under a Trump administration directive targeting Latin American drug cartels and securing oil resources. This precision operation, decried as unconstitutional by Democrats and some international bodies like the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, has not involved ground troops or occupation, prompting debates over escalation risks. Trader consensus reflects low invasion probability absent broader military mobilization, amid congressional resolutions, sanctions on Maduro allies, and regional wariness from Colombia and Brazil. Upcoming Senate hearings and potential UN Security Council sessions could signal further diplomatic or military postures before any resolution deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题