The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.38% for the week ending March 26, 2026—up 16 basis points from the prior week—closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield's rise to 4.42%, reflecting trader caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Updated dot plots project only one rate cut in 2026, tempered by steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year. Polymarket traders weigh this restrictive monetary policy stance against potential easing if labor data softens, with key catalysts including the April 10 March CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC meeting; consensus forecasts eye rates dipping toward 6% by year-end amid cooling inflation pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于30年期抵押贷款利率是否会在2026年达到__ ？
30年期抵押贷款利率是否会在2026年达到__ ？
$43,345 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7.00%
48%
↑ 6.75%
49%
↑ 6.50%
77%
↓ 5.90%
47%
↓ 5.70%
40%
↓ 5.50%
49%
$43,345 交易量
↑ 7.00%
$13 交易量
48%
↑ 6.75%
$0 交易量
49%
↑ 6.50%
$6,451 交易量
77%
↓ 5.90%
$0 交易量
47%
↓ 5.70%
$6,769 交易量
40%
↓ 5.50%
$0 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.38% for the week ending March 26, 2026—up 16 basis points from the prior week—closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield's rise to 4.42%, reflecting trader caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Updated dot plots project only one rate cut in 2026, tempered by steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year. Polymarket traders weigh this restrictive monetary policy stance against potential easing if labor data softens, with key catalysts including the April 10 March CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC meeting; consensus forecasts eye rates dipping toward 6% by year-end amid cooling inflation pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$43,345结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.38% for the week ending March 26, 2026—up 16 basis points from the prior week—closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield's rise to 4.42%, reflecting trader caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Updated dot plots project only one rate cut in 2026, tempered by steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year. Polymarket traders weigh this restrictive monetary policy stance against potential easing if labor data softens, with key catalysts including the April 10 March CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC meeting; consensus forecasts eye rates dipping toward 6% by year-end amid cooling inflation pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
交易量
$43,345结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 6.38% for the week ending March 26, 2026—up 16 basis points from the prior week—closely tracking the 10-year Treasury yield's rise to 4.42%, reflecting trader caution after the Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%. Updated dot plots project only one rate cut in 2026, tempered by steady February CPI inflation at 2.4% year-over-year. Polymarket traders weigh this restrictive monetary policy stance against potential easing if labor data softens, with key catalysts including the April 10 March CPI release and April 28-29 FOMC meeting; consensus forecasts eye rates dipping toward 6% by year-end amid cooling inflation pressures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题