Polymarket traders price a [X]% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit [$XX] by March 31, driven primarily by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid AI infrastructure buildout, offsetting softer economic signals. Spot silver trades near $31.20/oz per COMEX data, up 25% YTD on safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical risks and a softer dollar (DXY at 103.50). Key upside catalysts include March 20 FOMC rate decision—traders bet 75bps cuts by year-end per CME FedWatch—and upcoming CPI release on March 12; downside risks from China demand slowdown or hawkish Fed rhetoric. Historical precedent shows silver rallies 15%+ in Q1 post-rate pivot years, but volatility spikes near $32 resistance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$912,469 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ 95美元
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ 60美元
16%
↓ 50美元
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
$912,469 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
2%
↑ 95美元
4%
↓ $65
56%
↓ 60美元
16%
↓ 50美元
6%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a [X]% implied probability for silver (SI) futures to hit [$XX] by March 31, driven primarily by persistent industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics amid AI infrastructure buildout, offsetting softer economic signals. Spot silver trades near $31.20/oz per COMEX data, up 25% YTD on safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical risks and a softer dollar (DXY at 103.50). Key upside catalysts include March 20 FOMC rate decision—traders bet 75bps cuts by year-end per CME FedWatch—and upcoming CPI release on March 12; downside risks from China demand slowdown or hawkish Fed rhetoric. Historical precedent shows silver rallies 15%+ in Q1 post-rate pivot years, but volatility spikes near $32 resistance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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