Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low confidence in the timely release of Epstein Data Set 13, with implied probabilities hovering below 30% as of late July 2024, driven by repeated delays in federal court proceedings related to Jeffrey Epstein's case documents. A Southern District of New York judge has unsealed prior batches from the Giuffre-Maxwell litigation earlier this year, revealing known associates but no major new revelations, yet motions for additional records, potentially including Data Set 13 from PACER filings, remain unresolved amid appeals from implicated parties seeking redactions. No official docket confirms an imminent drop; upcoming status conferences in August could catalyze movement, though historical base rates show such releases often slip timelines due to privacy challenges and DOJ reviews. Uncertainty persists as traders weigh legal hurdles against public pressure for transparency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$199,500 交易量
Feb 28, 2026
3月31日
7%
$199,500 交易量
3月31日
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 4:54 PM ET
交易量
$199,500结束日期
Feb 28, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered.
A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).
交易量
$199,500结束日期
Feb 28, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 4:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects low confidence in the timely release of Epstein Data Set 13, with implied probabilities hovering below 30% as of late July 2024, driven by repeated delays in federal court proceedings related to Jeffrey Epstein's case documents. A Southern District of New York judge has unsealed prior batches from the Giuffre-Maxwell litigation earlier this year, revealing known associates but no major new revelations, yet motions for additional records, potentially including Data Set 13 from PACER filings, remain unresolved amid appeals from implicated parties seeking redactions. No official docket confirms an imminent drop; upcoming status conferences in August could catalyze movement, though historical base rates show such releases often slip timelines due to privacy challenges and DOJ reviews. Uncertainty persists as traders weigh legal hurdles against public pressure for transparency.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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