Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98% implied probability for Les Wexner facing arrest by March 31, driven by the absence of any charges or indictments despite intense scrutiny from February's release of Jeffrey Epstein files and Wexner's congressional deposition on February 18. In the filmed testimony released by the House Oversight Committee, the billionaire retail magnate denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes, claiming he was "duped" by his former adviser—a narrative echoed in verified statements amid public backlash and calls to remove his name from Ohio State buildings. No new investigations, lawsuits, or law enforcement actions have emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying trader confidence with just days until resolution. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise federal indictment tied to Epstein probes or unrelated probes, though historical patterns show such high-profile cases rarely materialize abruptly without prior signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$17,311 交易量
$17,311 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$17,311 交易量
$17,311 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leslie Wexner is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98% implied probability for Les Wexner facing arrest by March 31, driven by the absence of any charges or indictments despite intense scrutiny from February's release of Jeffrey Epstein files and Wexner's congressional deposition on February 18. In the filmed testimony released by the House Oversight Committee, the billionaire retail magnate denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes, claiming he was "duped" by his former adviser—a narrative echoed in verified statements amid public backlash and calls to remove his name from Ohio State buildings. No new investigations, lawsuits, or law enforcement actions have emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying trader confidence with just days until resolution. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise federal indictment tied to Epstein probes or unrelated probes, though historical patterns show such high-profile cases rarely materialize abruptly without prior signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leslie Wexner is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
交易量
$17,311结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leslie Wexner is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98% implied probability for Les Wexner facing arrest by March 31, driven by the absence of any charges or indictments despite intense scrutiny from February's release of Jeffrey Epstein files and Wexner's congressional deposition on February 18. In the filmed testimony released by the House Oversight Committee, the billionaire retail magnate denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes, claiming he was "duped" by his former adviser—a narrative echoed in verified statements amid public backlash and calls to remove his name from Ohio State buildings. No new investigations, lawsuits, or law enforcement actions have emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying trader confidence with just days until resolution. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise federal indictment tied to Epstein probes or unrelated probes, though historical patterns show such high-profile cases rarely materialize abruptly without prior signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leslie Wexner is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$17,311结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 98% implied probability for Les Wexner facing arrest by March 31, driven by the absence of any charges or indictments despite intense scrutiny from February's release of Jeffrey Epstein files and Wexner's congressional deposition on February 18. In the filmed testimony released by the House Oversight Committee, the billionaire retail magnate denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes, claiming he was "duped" by his former adviser—a narrative echoed in verified statements amid public backlash and calls to remove his name from Ohio State buildings. No new investigations, lawsuits, or law enforcement actions have emerged in the past 30 days, solidifying trader confidence with just days until resolution. Realistic upsets remain slim: a surprise federal indictment tied to Epstein probes or unrelated probes, though historical patterns show such high-profile cases rarely materialize abruptly without prior signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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