Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman have reinforced expectations that Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 series. Production timelines have faced minor engineering adjustments, including a one-to-two-month shift in mass production start dates, yet suppliers continue preparing for volume output without signals of a 2027 delay. These developments have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting Apple’s historical pattern of meeting fall launch windows despite occasional late-stage hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any final design certifications or additional supply chain updates in the coming months that could further clarify shipment volumes and exact availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$162,275 交易量
$162,275 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$162,275 交易量
$162,275 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman have reinforced expectations that Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 series. Production timelines have faced minor engineering adjustments, including a one-to-two-month shift in mass production start dates, yet suppliers continue preparing for volume output without signals of a 2027 delay. These developments have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting Apple’s historical pattern of meeting fall launch windows despite occasional late-stage hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any final design certifications or additional supply chain updates in the coming months that could further clarify shipment volumes and exact availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$162,275结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman have reinforced expectations that Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 series. Production timelines have faced minor engineering adjustments, including a one-to-two-month shift in mass production start dates, yet suppliers continue preparing for volume output without signals of a 2027 delay. These developments have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting Apple’s historical pattern of meeting fall launch windows despite occasional late-stage hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any final design certifications or additional supply chain updates in the coming months that could further clarify shipment volumes and exact availability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$162,275结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman have reinforced expectations that Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 series. Production timelines have faced minor engineering adjustments, including a one-to-two-month shift in mass production start dates, yet suppliers continue preparing for volume output without signals of a 2027 delay. These developments have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting Apple’s historical pattern of meeting fall launch windows despite occasional late-stage hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any final design certifications or additional supply chain updates in the coming months that could further clarify shipment volumes and exact availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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