Recent reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply chain analysts indicate Apple's first foldable iPhone, potentially branded as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design and advanced hinge technology, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor production delays of one to two months have surfaced, yet Apple has not signaled any shift beyond 2026, reinforcing trader consensus around the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Key upcoming catalysts include supply chain updates ahead of the September event and potential design finalization details, though engineering challenges with crease reduction and battery integration could still introduce last-minute adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$162,275 交易量
$162,275 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$162,275 交易量
$162,275 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply chain analysts indicate Apple's first foldable iPhone, potentially branded as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design and advanced hinge technology, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor production delays of one to two months have surfaced, yet Apple has not signaled any shift beyond 2026, reinforcing trader consensus around the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Key upcoming catalysts include supply chain updates ahead of the September event and potential design finalization details, though engineering challenges with crease reduction and battery integration could still introduce last-minute adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$162,275结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply chain analysts indicate Apple's first foldable iPhone, potentially branded as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design and advanced hinge technology, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor production delays of one to two months have surfaced, yet Apple has not signaled any shift beyond 2026, reinforcing trader consensus around the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Key upcoming catalysts include supply chain updates ahead of the September event and potential design finalization details, though engineering challenges with crease reduction and battery integration could still introduce last-minute adjustments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$162,275结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and supply chain analysts indicate Apple's first foldable iPhone, potentially branded as the iPhone Ultra with a book-style design and advanced hinge technology, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Minor production delays of one to two months have surfaced, yet Apple has not signaled any shift beyond 2026, reinforcing trader consensus around the high implied probability for a pre-2027 release. Key upcoming catalysts include supply chain updates ahead of the September event and potential design finalization details, though engineering challenges with crease reduction and battery integration could still introduce last-minute adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题