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icon for 苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?

苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?

icon for 苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?

苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?

86% 概率
Polymarket

$162,275 交易量

86% 概率
Polymarket

$162,275 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman have reinforced expectations that Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 series. Production timelines have faced minor engineering adjustments, including a one-to-two-month shift in mass production start dates, yet suppliers continue preparing for volume output without signals of a 2027 delay. These developments have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting Apple’s historical pattern of meeting fall launch windows despite occasional late-stage hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any final design certifications or additional supply chain updates in the coming months that could further clarify shipment volumes and exact availability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$162,275
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst assessments from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman have reinforced expectations that Apple’s first foldable iPhone, possibly branded as the iPhone Ultra, remains on track for a fall 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 series. Production timelines have faced minor engineering adjustments, including a one-to-two-month shift in mass production start dates, yet suppliers continue preparing for volume output without signals of a 2027 delay. These developments have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a pre-2027 release, reflecting Apple’s historical pattern of meeting fall launch windows despite occasional late-stage hurdles. Key upcoming catalysts include any final design certifications or additional supply chain updates in the coming months that could further clarify shipment volumes and exact availability.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$162,275
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"苹果会在2027年前推出可折叠iPhone吗?",概率为 86%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 86¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 86%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?"已产生 $162.3K 的总交易量(自Dec 12, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?"的当前领先者是"苹果会在2027年前推出可折叠iPhone吗?",概率为 86%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 86%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"苹果会在2027年之前发布可折叠iPhone吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。